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4-hour timeframe the Amplitude of the last 5 days (high-low): 77p – 117p – 113p – 50p – 177p. the Average amplitude over the last 5 days: 107p (91p). the British pound showed yesterday a fairly strong upward movement, based on information that the EU is not opposed to postpone the release date in the UK. Today will be a meeting between Theresa may and Jean Claude Juncker, during which the markets may receive new information on the key disagreement between the parties of the divorce process – at the Northern Irish border and its legal status. European leaders have repeatedly pointed out that it is not ready for new talks with London and can't offer anything more over and above the already agreed agreement. However, Theresa may don't have any other options...

4-hour timeframe the Amplitude of the last 5 days (high-low): 82p – 82p – 72p – 45p – 82p. the Average amplitude over the last 5 days: 73p (69p). the EUR/USD pair on Wednesday, February 20, continues inactive trades. Yesterday saw some volatile, which culminated in the passage of 82 points during the day, but today the market activity decreased again. Obviously, because of the complete lack of any macroeconomic reports in the European Union and the United States. Thus, the Euro is hardly to creep up. Tonight will be the publication of the minutes of the last fed meeting. We believe that any important information from this Protocol will not be able to draw. If the fed was thinking would be the termination of the reduction of its balance, it would have been...

Tonight will be published in the minutes of the January fed meeting, the so – called "minute". The results of the first in this year meeting of the regulator has been disappointing for the greenback. The Federal reserve finally confirmed its policy of slowing the pace of monetary policy tightening. In the text of the accompanying statement, and also during the headline, the word "patience" was played most often, so the market expects from the Protocol any hawkish notes. And yet certain intrigue today's release continues. The market will first have to appreciate how monolithic it looks like the decision on the slowdown in the rate hike. If the number of "doves" will greatly exceed "hawkish" wing, the dollar will once again be under additional pressure...

Swedish Krona can not recover after the recent fall. Recall – after weak inflation data and plans of the local Central Bank have prompted investors to sell the currency. The Euro, in turn, hit low-volume of industrial orders in Italy. The Krona rose last week after Sweden's Central Bank, despite the growing caution, said that it would adhere to its plan of raising rates in the second half of 2019. However, the next portion of data on inflation in January sent the currency down more than 1 percent to two-year low against the dollar. The Outlook on the crown with each passing day it becomes more and more alarming. For EUR/SEK should not be excluded from the range of 10.75 to 11.00 later in 2019. the Euro, which has decreased due to the fact that investors...

To open long positions on GBP/USD requires: Pound returned to the level of support to which I drew attention in his morning forecast, but no serious demand for it was not observed that led to a revision of future strategy for shopping. At the moment to return to the long position is better after the updates a new low of 1.2987 area, and the main task of the bulls will be a break and consolidation above the resistance 1.3038. Only after that can count on larger growth and renewal week high of 1.3097 area where I recommend to take profit. To open short positions on GBP/USD requires: the Bears managed to fixate below the morning support around 1.3035, and now it is resistance. The main goal on short positions for the second half of the day located in the area...

To open long positions on EURUSD requires: today the Buyers of the Euro attempted to continue the growth of the good report on producer prices in Germany, but to gain a foothold above the resistance 1.1355 and failed. In the second half of day all attention will be focused on the protocols of the fed, but the bulls still need a breakout and consolidation above the resistance 1.1355, which will lead to a larger upward correction is already in the district high of 1.1394 and 1.1432 where I recommend to take profit. In the case of reduction of EUR/USD, to open long positions on condition of formation of a false breakout near the support at 1.1319, which concentrated and moving averages are either on the rebound from the low of 1.1279, where you can see the...

Progress in trade negotiations, the US and China, and expectations of dovish rhetoric of the fed in the minutes of the January FOMC meeting was opened by the bulls on XAU/USD the way to 10-month highs. Gold has already gained 4.8 percent on concerns about the slowing global economy and understanding that Central banks will not hurry with tightening monetary policy. In such circumstances, the stakes of the global debt market will continue to be at historically low levels, and non-interest income precious metals can be a serious competitor to the bonds. At first glance it seems strange that the de-escalation of the trade conflict the United States and China supported the gold, because the precious metal is traditionally seen as a tool to hedge geopolitical...

USD/JPY February 20 - recommendations technical analysis USD/JPY Ian leaves no hope for a more meaningful bullish advantages and prospects. To achieve the desired need for weekly and monthly periods, as well as before and on the day, to gain a foothold in the bullish area relative to the Ichimoku cloud. Currently, the struggle for resistance 110,64-70 (monthly Senkou span a + weekly Fibo Kijun). Further, in the case of the situation in favour of the bulls important stages will be – 111,57 (monthly Kijun), up 113.24 (monthly Fibo Kijun), 114,22-56 (100% testing daily goal + maximum extremum). The most important support is concentrated now in the area 109,69-35. A break below would deprive the bulls support the bullish zone on daily and weekly periods, and...

According to analysts of the largest Bank Barclays, the Euro lost positions and lost its attractiveness for market participants. Experts of Bank is recommended to sell European currency and buying American, despite the current softening of rhetoric of the fed. on Tuesday, February 19, trades on the European stock exchanges took place in the "red" zone that did not add optimism to investors. For key EUR/USD pair situation also was not the most favorable. Experts have recorded its decline of 0.3%. Despite the fact that the leadership of the Federal reserve system (FRS) the USA took a cautious stance, currency strategists at Barclays believe that in the short term this will not prevent the US dollar to strengthen against the Euro. They believe that the...

Dollar not planning to make any sudden movements until the publication of the FOMC minutes, though he managed to strengthen against the yen, as stronger risk appetite dampened the demand for the Japanese currency. In General, Japanese currency, considered a safe haven, surrendered, and Japanese stocks rose to new two-month highs. Currently, the yen moved to deep defense. This plays into the hands of the dollar in this pair. We will remind, on Tuesday the dollar rose against the yen after the Bank of Japan said that Central Bank was "ready to increase stimulus if the sharp rise in the yen would harm the economy." If you look, the Bank of Japan there are not many options, even if he really decides to act. But the global trend starting in the United States...

AUD/USD during Friday's trading day showed high volatility of 176 points, the result of performing the previously delivered forecast in the form of the upward stroke. From the point of view of technical analysis, we have impulse upward move, overcoming on the way a series of levels at 1.2920, as well as psychological value 1,3000. News background had the statistical data from the UK labour market where, in principle, nothing we have not seen. The unemployment rate ostalsya unchanged, at 4.0%, as wages excluding bonuses grew by 3.4%. So what influenced this rapid growth? We'll start with the fact that growth is, in principle, waited, and the impetus, perhaps, was the statement of the head of the European Commission Jean-Claude Juncker: "Any decision to ask...

While traders and economists are preparing to begin the study of minutes of January meeting of the Federal reserve system, speeches from fed officials determine the course of future policy Committee earlier this year. Yesterday the President of the Federal reserve in Cleveland Loretta Mester said that if the economy is to meet the expectations, the stakes may need a little boost. However, at the moment, fed policy is not far behind from the development of the situation in the economy, and not much ahead of her, giving time to gather more information before making further adjustments to policy. Mester is confident that the upcoming meetings of the fed will make the final adjustments to the plans completion of the reduction balance, which will likely also...

Yesterday's attempt to break above the level of USD 4,000 failed and now bitcoin buyers you need to build a new side channel, which will allow to continue the upward trend to new heights. the Signal to buy the Bitcoin (BTC): the Technical picture remained unchanged. Buyers of bitcoin at the moment requires building a good side channel with a lower bound of 3 880 and the resistance in the region of 4 000. If this will be done on the example of the channel, which was formed on 9 February this year, we can expect continued demand for the cryptocurrency to break high of USD 4000 and updates of levels 4 100 and 4 200. the sell Signal Bitcoin (BTC) Just another failed consolidation and repayment under resistance of 4 000 will be sell signal with target test level...

The Pair pound/dollar yesterday tested two-week highs reaching the mid-30 figure. This price momentum has been due to several factors, which simultaneously supported the British currency and was "stoked" grinbek. the center of attention of traders, gbp/usd, of course, Brickset. Tonight (20:30) will be a key meeting of the British Prime Minister with the head of the European Commission. About the great significance of this meeting is stated both in London and in Brussels – in the opinion of the representatives of the parties, this dialogue can resolve the main problem of the negotiation process. We are talking about finding alternative backstop, opposed by many members of the British Parliament. Let me remind you that the original text of the transaction...

Dollar yesterday quite actively lost their positions, although if you rely on macroeconomic statistics, the reason for this is not there. Thus, the level of unemployment and the rate of growth of average wages in Britain remained unchanged. But it was expected and the reduction of unemployment and acceleration of the growth rate of the average wage. Also data for the construction industry in Europe has shown a slowdown in its growth rate from 1.1% to 0.7%, while it was forecast to accelerate to 2.1%. Thus, considering that the United States had not published any data, the dollar's weakening looks rather strange. However, yesterday, began actively to spread rumors that at least until the signing of a new trade agreement between the United States and China...