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According to the Agency Bloomberg with reference to the updated forecast of the European Commission (EC) in the current year, the Eurozone economy will grow by only 1.3%, not 1.9%, as previously reported. We will remind, the Eurozone consists of 19 European countries and their official currency is the Euro. In November last year the forecast of the EC was more optimistic. He called for growth in 2018 and in 2019 In 2020, according to the forecast, the European authorities had expected a rise to 1.7%, and at the moment the rating adjusted to 1.6%. Experts have recorded the deterioration of expectations in 2019 and in respect of the major EU economies – Germany, France and Italy. As for the Italian economy, the GDP growth forecast was revised dramatically to...

Large scale graph: the Vector direction of the dominant short-term trend of gold is upward. The wave completes a larger design firms, pre-target area, which is about $ 1400/ounce. the Average scale of the chart: the Rising wave of November 13, formed in the model of the older TF the final part (C). After breaking strong resistance has been rolled back down. Small scale graphics: the slope of the graph of January 31, the wave time scale formed intermediate correction. The wave is close to completion. the Prognosis and recommendations: the stabilization Period, the price of gold has not yet come. After the current pullback soon followed by a new round of price growth, than can take the advantage of the proponents of short-term trading style. resistance...

Analysts of Pimco, one of the biggest investors in the bond market, I advise to pay attention on the currencies of emerging markets. They believe that buy them but not US dollars or euros. At Pimco believe that at the moment there are many reasons to acquire assets in emerging markets (EM). Experts consider them the most promising, despite warnings from analysts of a number of the largest banks in the world that the growth in this sector may stop. According to Geraldine Sandstrom, managing Director of Pimco, support securities emerging markets have factors such as a pause in the rate hike by the fed, weakening the trade conflict between Washington and Beijing, as well as measures aimed at stimulating the Chinese economy. The expert believes that between the...

GBP/USD today's Economic calendar does not contain statistics from the UK, and economic indicator from the US does not have special importance. Yesterday, the pair continued declining and reached important supports. Meeting with supports, as well as the publication of important economic indicators has led to a sharp and active change of direction. In the end, the couple is again in the zone of attraction and influence important levels 1,2954-67 (weekly Fibo Kijun + Tenkan month). Today we close the week. The formation of a rebound from weekly Kijun (1,2868) will promote the return of bullish sentiment. The weakness of players on increase at the closing of the week can lead to subsequent long-term uncertainty in this area. Yesterday's activity of players on...

The feeling that Theresa may flew to Brussels for Breakfast because they fed it and welcoming Jean-Claude Juncker. Of course, the head of the European Commission vowed to make adjustments in the political Declaration of intent, which outlines the General, and rather vague, the contours of interaction between the European Union and the United Kingdom, after a Brexit'to take into account a number of concerns of the British Parliament. However, expressing regret over the extremely tight deadlines, he explained that will be able to provide amendments to the Declaration only after the Parliament will adopt already agreed by the countries of the European Union version of the agreement, in which no changes in Europe make will not. Stressing that speech about...

Yesterday's decision of the Bank of England led to the decline of the pound, but then buyers returned to the market on the background of the statements made at the meeting in Brussels representatives of great Britain and the EU. As indicated in the minutes of the Bank of England, in February the decision was made to keep the key interest rate at 0.75%. The decision was made at a ratio of 9 votes to 0, unanimously, that coincided with economists ' expectations. the pressure on the pound was formed after the regulator revised its forecasts for economic growth. It is expected that the UK GDP in the 4th quarter of 2018 will level at 0.3% and in the 1st quarter of 2019 will slow to 0.2%. Total for 2019 the Bank of England predicts UK GDP growth to 1.2%, from...

EUR/USD the Economic calendar today, the rich statistics of average and low importance, but the publication of truly significant indicators is not expected. It should be noted that today we close the week, so there is a high probability draw some conclusion and closure of positions by large players. the Players for a fall have the advantage and continue to decline. The main downside guidance announced earlier, retain their relevance and location (1,1290 – 1,1229 – 1,1186). Daily cloud (1,1380-90) remains the nearest resistance, so it is the first, in the case of retesting, will stand in the way of players on the rise. currently the benefits and support of basic technical elements stored on the player's side on the slide. Guidelines to reduce 1,1318 - 1,1300...

Overview: 7 Feb GBP/USD gained about 20 b.p. that did not affect the current wave formation. Now we can assume that eve was constructed of inner a corrective wave in part 1 or a new downward trend. If this assumption is correct, then lowering the quotes will resume with targets placed near the level of 50.0% according to Fibonacci, then I would expect wave 2 or I. Unsuccessful attempt to break level of 50.0% will show that the pair is ready to build a correctional wave. the Goal for purchases: 1,3216 – 0,0% according to Fibonacci(formal target) the Goal: 1,2827 – 50.0% according to Fibonacci 1,2734 – 61.8% according to Fibonacci General conclusions and trading recommendations: the Wave pattern suggests the formation of the first wave of downtrend. Thus, I...

Overview: as of Thursday, February 7, ended lower by 40 b.p. Thus, continuing to work out the basic version, designed to build downward wave 3 with targets placed near the low of wave 1 and below. Wave 3 at its inner wave structure still looks fully stocked and complete. After declining to the low of wave 1 will need to understand is the tool to further reduce and construction of the pulsed part of the trend or plot, originating January 10, transformirovalsya to three wave structure completion figure of about 13 or a little below. This will depend on the development of further trading strategies. the Goal: 1,1289 – 100.0% of Fibonacci 1,1215 – 0,0%. Purpose for purchase: 1,1444 – 38.2% according to Fibonacci 1,1514 – 50.0% according to Fibonacci General...

Large scale graph: Asking the whole of last year the downward movement of the price of the cross wave ended a month ago. In the Wake of the global trend it has become correction. the Average scale of the chart: on 3 January the price began to form the basis for a new trend wave. Given the large scale of the last wave, the current in recent weeks, the flat side will continue to align the wave level to the required level. Small scale graphics: the Direction of intraday trends specifies a descending wave from 2 Feb. In the larger wave structure it forms part of a corrective wave (B). the Prognosis and recommendations: this week most likely the continuation to the flat "sideways movement" in the price corridor between the closest zones. At its lower boundary to...

Published today Nonfermi are unable to support the American currency, despite the impressive increase in the number of people employed in non-agricultural sector. This figure is almost two times higher than the consensus forecast, being at the level of 304 thousand. But this good news for dollar bulls ended: the rest of the components crucial for the fed release showed negative dynamics. first, the increased level of unemployment. This indicator is growing for the second consecutive month: from September to November, unemployment was at 3.7 percent in December, increased to 3.9% and finally in January to 4%. And although growth was minimal, the trend is alarming in light of recent statements by fed Chairman Jerome Powell. But the most disappointing wages...

4-hour timeframe the Amplitude of the last 5 days (high-low): 159p – 73p – 144p – 90p – 62p. the Average amplitude over the last 5 days: 106p (110 points). on Friday, February 1, with GBP/USD so slightly downward movement. The American macroeconomic statistics has definitely helped to make the traders choice in favour of the American currency. The prospects for Brexit remain very vague, it refers to the orderly Brexit. Although under certain conditions, the UK still can and does remain in the Alliance. As for the pound, we have already repeatedly wrote that the recent strengthening of the currency looks very illogical and groundless. It is clear that to move in the same direction the currency can not. However, there were no fundamental reasons for the...

4-hour timeframe the Amplitude of the last 5 days (high-low): 117p – 54p – 39p – 96p – 78p. the Average amplitude over the last 5 days: 77p (81p). during the first half of the day on 1 February, the currency pair EUR/USD slightly increased. Quite a strange reaction of traders on a completely failed inflation in the Eurozone. Inflation in January, however, only on preliminary value, slowed to 1.4%. However, since this value is fully consistent with the forecast, the pressure on the Euro did not happen. But by far the American macroeconomic statistics pleased traders. The number of new jobs created outside agriculture amounted to 304 000 instead of the projected 165 000. Average hourly wages, the chamber grew by 3.2%, in line with market expectations. The...

The world's Largest online retailer Amazon.com Inc received a record profit and revenue for the fourth quarter of 2018. the company's Net profit from October to December 2018 was $3,027 billion ($6,04 per share), which is 1.6 times more than in the same period last year, quarterly revenues reached $72,383 billion, which is almost 20% more than last year. the majority of analyst forecast a profit of $5,65 per share and revenue of $71,88 billion. 45% increase in quarterly revenue, cloud computing, Amazon Web Services (AWS), up to USD 7.43 billion Operating profit AWS soared by 61% in comparison to 2017, from $1,354 billion to $2,177 billion At the end of trading on Thursday, January 31, the value of the company's shares rose by 2.89%, to the level of 1.718...

While some experts point to the growing risk of a British exit from the EU without a deal and believe that the pound's collapse is only a matter of time, others believe that instead of London still try to postpone Brexit, from which the British currency will benefit. In particular, the experts of Deutsche Bank, which previously recommended to hold long positions on the British currency, and now hold a neutral position. "We believe that compromise Malthouse has virtually zero chances of success in the European Union", – they noted. According to Nordea Bank, the vote, which passed in the House of Commons on Tuesday, has pushed the United Kingdom closer to a managed exit without a deal. "We do not share investors' optimism about Brexit and in their place, I...