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Analytical reviews Forex

Daily analytical reviews of the Forex market from InstaForex company

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AUD/USD during Friday's trading day showed high volatility of 176 points, the result of performing the previously delivered forecast in the form of the upward stroke. From the point of view of technical analysis, we have impulse upward move, overcoming on the way a series of levels at 1.2920, as well as psychological value 1,3000. News background had the statistical data from the UK labour market where, in principle, nothing we have not seen. The unemployment rate ostalsya unchanged, at 4.0%, as wages excluding bonuses grew by 3.4%. So what influenced this rapid growth? We'll start with the fact that growth is, in principle, waited, and the impetus, perhaps, was the statement of the head of the European Commission Jean-Claude Juncker: "Any decision to ask...

While traders and economists are preparing to begin the study of minutes of January meeting of the Federal reserve system, speeches from fed officials determine the course of future policy Committee earlier this year. Yesterday the President of the Federal reserve in Cleveland Loretta Mester said that if the economy is to meet the expectations, the stakes may need a little boost. However, at the moment, fed policy is not far behind from the development of the situation in the economy, and not much ahead of her, giving time to gather more information before making further adjustments to policy. Mester is confident that the upcoming meetings of the fed will make the final adjustments to the plans completion of the reduction balance, which will likely also...

Yesterday's attempt to break above the level of USD 4,000 failed and now bitcoin buyers you need to build a new side channel, which will allow to continue the upward trend to new heights. the Signal to buy the Bitcoin (BTC): the Technical picture remained unchanged. Buyers of bitcoin at the moment requires building a good side channel with a lower bound of 3 880 and the resistance in the region of 4 000. If this will be done on the example of the channel, which was formed on 9 February this year, we can expect continued demand for the cryptocurrency to break high of USD 4000 and updates of levels 4 100 and 4 200. the sell Signal Bitcoin (BTC) Just another failed consolidation and repayment under resistance of 4 000 will be sell signal with target test level...

The Pair pound/dollar yesterday tested two-week highs reaching the mid-30 figure. This price momentum has been due to several factors, which simultaneously supported the British currency and was "stoked" grinbek. the center of attention of traders, gbp/usd, of course, Brickset. Tonight (20:30) will be a key meeting of the British Prime Minister with the head of the European Commission. About the great significance of this meeting is stated both in London and in Brussels – in the opinion of the representatives of the parties, this dialogue can resolve the main problem of the negotiation process. We are talking about finding alternative backstop, opposed by many members of the British Parliament. Let me remind you that the original text of the transaction...

Dollar yesterday quite actively lost their positions, although if you rely on macroeconomic statistics, the reason for this is not there. Thus, the level of unemployment and the rate of growth of average wages in Britain remained unchanged. But it was expected and the reduction of unemployment and acceleration of the growth rate of the average wage. Also data for the construction industry in Europe has shown a slowdown in its growth rate from 1.1% to 0.7%, while it was forecast to accelerate to 2.1%. Thus, considering that the United States had not published any data, the dollar's weakening looks rather strange. However, yesterday, began actively to spread rumors that at least until the signing of a new trade agreement between the United States and China...

Big TF: the largest scale terminal gives a picture of a rising wave model, which to date, completed the first 2 parts (A+b). Upcoming probable potential growth rate reaches 10 price figures. Small TF: the Rising wave from 3 Jan is developing as a impetus. The intermediate correction is behind us. February 15, the price has again gone to growth. From current price levels then followed by a pullback, then the total price rise will continue. the Prognosis and recommendations: chart cross finalized before the price break up. Time coming to the flat calm it is recommended to use to search for entry points to position "long". resistance: - 147.60/148.10 support Area: - 143.50/143.00 explanation of the drawings: In a simplified wave analysis uses wave consisting...

Overview: 19 Feb GBP/USD has gained about 140 b.p. and out the high of the previous wave, which required adjustments in the current wave formation. However, the downward trend that started on 25 January, still looks like a 5 wave structure completed. Thus, the current elevation of the tool can be identified as a corrective set of waves. If this assumption is correct, then the current position or from the level of 76.4% for small Fibonacci grid tool can resume the decline in the building of a new impulse wave with targets placed below figure 28. Unsuccessful attempt to break the 76.4% level will indicate that the pair is ready to fall. the Goal for purchases: 1,3109 – 76.4% according to Fibonacci the Goal: 1,2734 – 61.8% according to Fibonacci 1,2619 – 76.4%...

Overview: Auction on Tuesday, February 19 ended trading on EUR/USD to rise another 30 basis.p. Thus, the pair continues building of prospective wave 4 downward part of the trend, taking the form of a triangle, or trenbolona structure down is completed and the tool moved to the building of upward trend, at least trehosnovnogo. Anyway, now the tool has reached a level of 23.6% of Fibonacci, and future prospects of the Euro are directly linked to the willingness or unwillingness to perform the breakout of this level. the Goal: 1,1228 – 0,0%. 1,1215 – 0,0%. Purpose for purchase: 1,1356 – 23.6% according to Fibonacci 1,1408 – 61.8% according to Fibonacci General conclusions and trading recommendations: the Pair has completed formation of wave 3. So, now I...

4-hour timeframe Technical data: Senior linear regression channel: direction – up. the Youngest linear regression channel: direction – down. the Moving average (20; smoothed) – sideways. CCI: 162.1134 GBP/USD on Wednesday, February 20, on the background information about what the EU is totally fine to postpone the date of a British exit from the EU, showed a significant strengthening. A similar picture we have seen in the last year when the pound enjoyed strengthened by various kinds of rumours, unverified information, and market expectations about the positive outcome of the Brexit. It seems that in 2019, the pound will also be to seek support in such factors. There was also the information that the attorney General of England and Wales Geoffrey Cox has...

4-hour timeframe Technical data: Senior linear regression channel: direction – sideways. the Youngest linear regression channel: direction – down. the Moving average (20; smoothed) – up. CCI: 127.3110 Currency pair EUR/USD with great difficulty was fixed above the moving average line and worked level Murray "2/8" - of 1.1353. From a fundamental point of view, the growth potential of the European currency exhausted. However, given the fact that the pair has failed three attempts to overcome the important and strong area of support 1,1250 – 1,1290, we can assume that the strengthening Euro may continue on the basis of technical factors. Thus, further upward movement the pair will need a resistance level of 1.1353. Today, February 20, again not planned any...

To open long positions on GBP/USD requires: the Breakthrough of a number of major resistance and in General a good report on the labour market in the UK returned the demand for the British pound. To continue a rising trend, we need a breakthrough and consolidation above the resistance 1.3074, which will lead to new highs in the field of 1.3111 and 1.3159, where I recommend to take profit. Under a scenario of a downward correction in the first half of the day shopping, you can look at a false breakout from the support 1.3030 or on the rebound from a larger level 1.2977, where the 50-day moving average. To open short positions on GBP/USD requires: Sellers need the formation of a false breakout near the resistance at 1.3074 condition divergence on the MACD...

To open long positions on EURUSD requires: the Yesterday's data on consumer sentiment did not help the Euro, however, shows that the upward momentum is conserved. Today in the morning, require a breakdown and consolidation above the resistance 1.1355, which will lead to a larger upward correction is already in the district high of 1.1394 and 1.1432 where I recommend to take profit. In the case of reduction of EUR/USD, to open long positions on condition of formation of a false breakout near the support at 1.1319, which concentrated and moving averages are either on the rebound from the low of 1.1279, where you can see the lower border of the rising price channel. To open short positions on EURUSD requires: sellers of the Euro will rely on the formation of a...

On Tuesday 19 February, the Euro, the pound and gold showed a strong daily growth. This may be the beginning of a strong trend against the dollar. There are important events: Today, February 20 British Prime Minister is expected to meet with de facto Prime Minister of the EU Jean-Claude Juncker (his job title as "head of the European Commission", the Executive body of the EU). the Main question about the agreement of the EU-Britain about the relationship after Brexit. British Prime Minister may make a last attempt to obtain from the EU concessions that can help to carry out the agreement through Parliament in Britain. The main issue about the border with Ireland. The vote in the Parliament of Britain is scheduled for February 27 - in the case of a new...

Trade negotiations the United States and China are again faced with a fundamental difference in approaches. As you know, the United States accused China in the growth of the trade deficit, the violation of WTO rules and misappropriation of intellectual property. On the third point, the administration trump conducted a special investigation, which resulted in the charge of China in a wide range of disorders from discriminatory licensing restrictions to cyber attacks to steal intellectual property. whether it looks that way? It turns out that the facts of the present US position is not confirmed completely. Federal reserve Bank of St. Louis, analyzing the data of the Organization for economic cooperation and development, received as a result of different...

4h . End call quotations from this level allow traders to expect a reversal in favor of the us currency and a fall towards the level 1,1269. Divergence on 20 February is not observed any one indicator. The consolidation of the pair above the level of correction 23.6% work in favor of continuing growth towards the next correction level of 38.2% - 1,1446. the Fibo Grid built by extrema on September 24, 2018 12 November 2018. Daily On a 24-hour chart the pair performed the rebound from the correction level to 127.2% - 1,1285 turning in favor of the currency of the EU and beginning the process of growth towards the correctional level 100,0% - 1,1553. Divergence on the current chart, no indicator. The consolidation of the rate under the Fibo level to 127.2% can...