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Analytical reviews Forex

Daily analytical reviews of the Forex market from InstaForex company

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Addition to the previous review based on the current situation on the market options movement of trading tools #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY from August 19, 2019. Minute (time frame h4) the Previous review #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD 14.08.2019 G. 19:12 UTC+3 ____________________ US dollar Index the movement of the dollar index #USDX from 19 August 2019 will flow in whichever direction the breakout of the range: the resistance 98.30 (lower boundary of the channel 1/2 Median Line Minuette); the support level of 98.00 (the upper boundary of the channel 1/2 Median Line Minute) if the support level of 98.00 will determine the development of the movement of the dollar index to the channel 1/2 Median Line Minute (98.00 - 97.65 - 97.35), and when breaking the...

DXY dollar Index since the beginning of the week, gained 0.84 percent. Main role was played by the weakening of the Euro, which completes perhaps the worst week in the last time. The fact that the ECB picked up the "virus" of rate reductions. This was noticeable in the comments of the member of the governing Council of the ECB, Olli Rehn. According to the official, the European regulator is ready to surprise the market. At the September meeting he should announce a substantial stimulus package, which significantly exceeds traders ' expectations. The Outlook for the region deteriorates that "justify additional measures of monetary policy," said Wren. Incentives include an "essential and sufficient" buying securities and lowering interest rates. Given the...

After heavy losses the British pound is attempting to resume growth. Is there any hope for his recovery or sale of "British" still a priority? One of the reasons for improving the position of the pound this week was the news from the United Kingdom, indicating the activation of Brexit as such, opponents and supporters of the "divorce" with the EU acting, however, against the release of Albion from the Alliance without the transaction. on Wednesday, Jeremy Corbyn, leader of the British labour party, proposed a vote of no confidence in the Prime Minister Boris Johnson and to create an emergency interim government, which ensures that the state does not leave the EU without an agreement and will hold early General elections. the Leader of the liberal Democrats...

While the Euro against the dollar updates two-week lows, the pound has shown courage, ignoring the General strengthening of the American currency. The British in recent years is trading in its own "coordinate system", when defining priorities among the many fundamental factors. For example, this week the pound has ignored strong macro-economic reports showing rising inflation, wages and retail sales. However, American statistics, which also came out in a positive way, were ignored by the traders of gbp/usd. By and large, the pound responds only to news about the prospects for pulses Brekzita. This theme overlaps all other fundamental factors, and this fact makes a few closeprogram. will Remind that on Monday the pair gbp/usd has updated its annual minimum...

Hello, dear colleagues. On the EUR/USD pair continue the downward cycle of 13 August is expected after the passage of the noise range 1.1073 – 1.1062. Pair Pound/Dollar followed the development of the upward cycle of 12 August. On the pair Dollar/franc further development of the uptrend from August 13, expected after the breakout 0.9816. USD/JPY continue upward movement is expected after breakdown 106.91, the level of 105.64 key support. For the EUR/Yen 117.58 level is a key resistance for the subsequent development of the downward structure from August 13. On the GBP/Yen the subsequent development of the upward structure from August 12, expected after the breakout 129.66, the level of 127.94 key support. the Forecast for 1 August 6: technical analysis of...

A Strong economy – strong currency! This principle is fundamental analysis works like clockwork. How many did not try Donald trump and acting on his orders the fed to drown the US dollar, they do not work. States look better than the rest of the world, and in such circumstances, the USD index is doomed to rally. The divergence in economic growth always faithfully served any currency and "American" is not an exception to the rule. After strong statistics on retail sales in July, the company Macroeconomic Advisers raised its forecast for US GDP for the third quarter from 1.7% to 2%. The leading indicator from the Atlanta fed indicates that the us economy in July-September expanded by 2.2%. But States can boast of more and unemployment close to its lowest...

The single European currency fell sharply Thursday, reaching a new low in two years. on the Eve of the Euro against the US dollar dipped by almost 0.5%. Sales of the single European currency provoked statements by the member of the ECB governing Council Olli Rehn. According to him, at the next meeting of the European regulator will announce the stimulus package, including significant and sufficient bond purchases and lower interest rates. These measures can outperform investors ' expectations. "When you're dealing with financial markets is always better to exceed expectations than not meet them, and it is better to take a stronger package than to make some modest steps," said a senior official of the ECB. He pointed out several risks to the European...

AUD/USD during Friday's trading day showed the expected high volatility of 98 points, breaking the previously formed cluster. From the point of view of technical analysis, we see that two-day accumulation 1,2040/1,2100, which attracted the attention of many traders, was punched, directing the quote towards periodic value 1,2150. Leap and rise in volatility was an expected phenomenon, just look at the table of the volatility and everything will fall into place. As discussed in the previous review, the traders did not make unnecessary movements, do not speculate inside the clusters, this is not needed, as the waiting position breakdown seemed the most profitable and no matter where you fly off the market - up or down - can be earned. Examining a trading graph...

The Current state of Affairs in the market of black gold is not optimistic, experts and investors. Analysts one of the largest banks BNP Paribas has revised its forecast for oil this year and next year downwards. the Market of black gold is losing previously won positions on the background of maintaining the risk of an escalation of the trade conflict between the US and China. In addition, the pressure on the oil price have a data of U.S. Department of energy. Report agencies reported increase in weekly supplies of raw materials in the country of 1.6 million barrels, to 440,5 million barrels, or 0.4%. Note that over the past week, oil production in the US remained unchanged at the level of 12.3 million barrels per day, which is considered very high...

EUR/USD and GBP/USD August 16 – recommendations technical analysis the Fundamental component the Most important statistics are expected today in the afternoon. Especially note the publication of data on the number of issued building permits (USA, 15:30 GMT). EUR / USD the Pair continued the decline. At the moment, affected by the attraction of the historical level 1,1107. In the case of reliable overcoming of this level will further the interests of the bears will be associated with testing the strength of the minimal extremum (1,1027), at the same time will be fulfilled the downside target for the breakout clouds H4. Today we close the week. Players on the decline it is advisable to do it as preserving, and even strengthening their positions. Otherwise...

EUR / USD Thursday, August 15, ended for the pair EUR/USD decrease by 30 b.p. thus, the proposed wave b is very extended relative to the size of wave a. At the same time, current wave marking remains in force, so far... the Main enemy of the current wave pattern is a background. Yesterday, retail sales in the USA showed a higher growth in July than expected to see the markets. This supported the dollar. Yesterday made a speech the head of the Bank of Finland and member of the Board of Directors of the ECB, Olli Rehn. He stated that at the next ECB meeting will be announced not only to reduce the key rate at 0.1 percent, but significant purchases of bonds under quantitative easing. To the monetary Committee of the ECB will come due to the looming global...

EUR / USD In the short-term direction of the trend on the chart of the Euro specifies the bullish wave from 1 Aug. In the framework of 6 develops downward correction, received the elongation in the last days. At the time of analysis, the price is near the next support. The structure of the correction looks completed, but the reversal signal is not observed. Forecast: Today is expected to be completed in the current last days of the reduction, course change and the beginning of the price rise. When reversal is not excluded short-term puncture of the lower border of the support zone. Recommendations: Today the market the Euro is not recommended. For exhausted sales potential. Before the emergence of clear signals of change of direction of the purchase of the...

On Thursday, the European single currency experienced a real shock, which was caused by the statement by the representative of the ECB, head of the Central Bank of Finland O. Rehn. He in his speech actually announced a new stimulus program from the European regulator, which will provide for a reduction in Deposit interest rates to minus 0.5% from the current value to minus 0.4% and buying government bonds worth 50 billion euros per month. Perhaps these values will vary, the important thing is that Rene said that the incentives should disappoint the market. "It is better to exceed expectations than not to justify," said O. Ren. In this situation the question arises that what will happen in the future with the main currency pair EUR / USD. Will she return to...

The Positive macroeconomic data released on Thursday eased the tension and allowed the markets to win back some losses. Retail sales rose in July by 0.7%, which was above the forecast of 0.3%, preliminary data on productivity and labour costs in Q2 was also better than expected, which indicates low market expectations for income of employees and, consequently, on inflation. After government bonds of several countries headed by the United States showed the inversion of yields, the prevailing mood in the markets was the growth of panic and excessive demand for defensive assets, which led to the collapse of the stock markets. However, the study Mizuho Bank refutes the widely held view about the inevitability of recession, in his opinion, the negative effects...

Macroeconomic reporting Thursday had statistics on retail sales in the United States, which, of course, supported the interest to the U.S. currency. Retail sales in the month rose 0.7%, the figures for June was revised downwards to 0.4% ----> 0,3%. It is worth considering that this figure is one of the most important indicators of the economy of the United States, since consumer spending accounts for about 70% of the country's GDP. As a result, the inertial movement of the dollar continued against the background of positive statistics of the USA and the worsening situation in Europe. Today in terms of macroeconomic reporting we have data on the construction sector of the United States, where it is expected a slight increase. Now, building permits for July...