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Analytical reviews Forex

Daily analytical reviews of the Forex market from InstaForex company

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Trade idea on the GBP USD Events. Today, an event occurred which put an end to longuich the positions of traders who believe in a growth of the pound against the dollar. I think that these traders are actually a lot, considering how strong the bearish trend of this pair stretched even over the last six months, almost recoilless. According to statistics, the larger the down trend – the more traders buying to 67/33%. And it's really easy to check. Is a wild ratio of strong movements is easily explained by the simple "averaged" unprofitable longuich positions that traders could leave large areas pletovy in July of 1.25 to 1.24. And all anything, if not for the fact that "Lord of trends gbpusd" trading at historical lows over the past 3 years, i.e. since the...

British pound tumbled Wednesday in the morning more than 100 points once in the interview, Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced that he had asked Queen Elizabeth II to allow a stop of work of Parliament for several weeks. We are talking about a complete suspension of work of the Parliament, supposedly in order to develop a new program on Brexit, on which it was conducted last week with representatives of the European Union. However, it is clear to many that such actions of the Prime Minister, of course, is not aimed at developing programs, and are a response to opposition legislators to make them work connected with blocking of proposals for Brexit. First of all, such measures will reduce legislators the time necessary for the development and adoption of...

The speech of the fed chair was seen by traders as a signal to further decline in interest rates already this fall. Despite the fact that Powell is only indirectly hinted at this possibility, focusing more on the prospects for economic growth, the U.S. dollar declined against a number of global currencies, while gold resumed its growth. In a speech the fed Chairman said he would act expediently to maintain economic growth, despite the fact that the prospects of the U.S. economy has improved since the beginning of this year. Powell expressed concern because of the uncertainty in international trade, which leads to a slowdown in the world economy. as for inflation, according to the expectations of the fed it is gradually moving to the target level of 2%, and...

To Your attention a comprehensive analysis of the movement #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY (the weight of these instruments in the calculation of the dollar index is 83.1% of the) from 26 August 2019 in addition to the previous review from 09.08.2019 17:13 UTC+3. the Operational scale Minor (time frame Daily) ____________________ US Dollar Index Since August 26, 2019 the development of the movement of the dollar index #USDX will be determined by the direction of the breakout of the range: the resistance level 98.50 (initial line SSL fork operational scale Minute); the support level of 98.05 (upper border of the channel 1/2 Median Line Minute). the Breakdown of the support level of 98.05 - movement of the dollar index will continue to the channel 1/2...

The Single European currency is still difficult to find buyers due to the deterioration of the political situation in Italy, a possible recession in Germany, the prospects of aggressive monetary easing of the ECB as well as the risks of escalation of trade war with Brussels and Washington. Italian President Sergio Mattarella consults with leading parties in the background of the political crisis. If he can find a basis for uniting the majority and create a new government coalition, the situation in the country, which must comply with strict EU requirements for budget, a few stabiliziruemost. If the parties fail to agree, Italy are waiting for early elections and the uncertainty. However, the Italian crisis is now having a limited impact on the Euro. The...

Dollar pair froze in anticipation of today's speech by fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who will take part at the economic Symposium in Jackson Cholula. In anticipation of this event, the dollar index is growing rapidly, reflecting the demand for the American currency throughout the market. Despite such tendencies, dealing with the dollar now is risky – in the end of the U.S. session, the situation can change dramatically. If the head of the Federal reserve focuses its attention on the consequences of a trade war, the inversion of the yield curve and low inflation, the likelihood of a September reduction will jump to 100%. While it is alternatively the key U.S. macroeconomic indicators have recently shown growth, so hypothetically the fed can afford to wait...

No minutes of the meetings of the fed and the ECB, neither the European statistics on business activity failed to clarify the fate of EUR/USD. Yes, within the FOMC is split, Yes, the Eurozone composite PMI in August has surpassed forecasts of experts of Bloomberg, however, the index of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector in Germany continued its peak and is in the 6-year-old bottom. In addition, the ECB intends to act aggressively. In July, the governing Council considered the possibility of a stimulus package, including lower rates and revive the program of asset purchases. There is little doubt that monetary stimulus will be generous: the retiring gentleman, Mario Draghi can't wait to make a farewell gift for lady, Christine Lagarde. markets...

Currency pair EUR/USD during Friday's trading day showed a volatility close to the average of 50 points, but it wasn't enough to break the long-running channel. From the point of view of technical analysis, we see that quotation again tried to break through the bounds of our flat education 1,1066/1,1110, but the result was the third puncture 1,1066--->1,1063. What is even more interesting is the wide range that made the day a distinct stop, as if signaling readiness. As discussed in the previous review, traders did not seek to speculation inside the range as the income did not justify the possible risks. Thus, the strategy of waiting a breakout of a particular border - 1,1066/1,1110 - was priority. Examining a trading graph in General, we see that...

To open long positions on GBP/USD requires: From yesterday's growth of the pound was only about half. Optimism of reaching an agreement on the border of Northern Ireland as it quickly goes, and support from the major players yet. The bulls have already missed the 1.1214 level, which was transformed already in the 1.1220 resistance. Goal for the second half of the day will return on this range that will retain the upside momentum in the pair and will update 1.2264 resistance and highs of this week, where I recommend to take profit. However, the dollar may get support after the speech of fed Chairman Jerome Powell. In such a scenario, count on new long positions in GBP/USD after downward correction in the area of the low of 1.2176 or on the rebound from the...

To open long positions on EURUSD requires: it is expected, the fourth test of the support level of 1.1066 led to the breakdown of a range and the further decline of the pair EUR/USD. At the moment the whole focus will shift to the speech of fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who can set the direction of the pair at the end of the week. If it will not go on interest rates, or Powell will ignore this topic, then it is likely the Euro's decline will continue. In this case, buyers can only rely on test support 1.1028. To open long positions in EUR/USD immediately on a rebound I recommend after you update at least 1.0990. The main task of the bulls in the second half of the day will return to the resistance 1.1066 that will lead to the closure of some short positions...

Today will be, perhaps, one of the main financial events of the year: a conference in Jackson hole will be the fed's Jerome Powell. It would give the market the understanding of the direction of monetary policy the us Central Bank is not only for September but for the coming months. furthermore, in the weekend the leaders of the countries "the Big seven" will hold talks and can discuss made by some States to weaken their national currencies. Almost all week the markets can not determine the further direction. Thus, the American stock indexes that are falling, we are rising again. Symposium in Jackson hole and the G7 summit can bring to the markets are important drivers. this month, leaders in the G10, became the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc, that is the...

AUD/USD during Friday's trading day showed a very high volatility of 164 points, the result of having a splash in the market, locally punching with the border. From the point of view of technical analysis, we see that a long lasting range of 1.2000/1,2200 was locally broken up, achieving as a result of the high of July 31, where the quote felt a periodic resistance and, as a fact, slowed down. Examining in detail the candles cross the upper boundary, we see that they carry a pulse speed, which is not comparable with the dynamics of the last days, and as a fact this education triggered by the background information, as a fact, incident, and only then technical accumulation, which kept us from the beginning of the month. As discussed in the previous review...

Experts and market participants are wondering whether to expect a collapse of oil prices in the near future? These reflections are caused by significant fluctuations in oil prices. After active growth they show a drop. Experts believe that the current situation could trigger a collapse in the market of black gold. a Day earlier, on Thursday, August 22, oil quotations of mark Brent rose to $60.7 per barrel. In the future, after the publication of the weekly data on stocks of raw materials in America, black gold became cheaper. According to US Department of energy, last week the oil reserves in the country decreased by 2.7 million barrels, even though analysts expected smaller decrease. currently the market froze in anticipation of a speech by Jerome Powell...

The European single currency with the pound once again held a rehearsal of separate life, and they behave quite differently. Particularly notable is cheerful and the pound caused by the new statements of Boris Johnson about Brexit'a. Having listened carefully to the words of Merkel and Macron about a thirty day period, for which the UK needs to manage to offer your edits to repeatedly offer the option agreement, however, without changing the essence of the agreement and also without adding the trade and economic part, the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom made a very unexpected statement. Boris Johnson, in fact, renounced all his pre-election statements, and said that in any case it is impossible to prevent the emergence of border control on the border...

EUR / USD Incomplete wave structure of the short scale on the chart the Euro is rising, from 1 Aug. The last 2 weeks, the price forms the middle part of the Century Under the intermediate support, the price formed a sideways movement. Forecast: the Flat portion of the graph formed this week, has a reversal potential, therefore, the price decline will continue. The next frontier likely stands complete support area. In the next trading session, high probability short-term growth to the resistance area. Recommendations: When buying euros today wiser a lot reduce. In the area of the resistance area are encouraged to track the signals of market direction. When the price approaches the support zone should be closed a short trade at the first reversal signal...