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Business / Finance

MQL5: Blogs Traders

Blogs traders and analyst of financial markets

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First a few words about the events of the past week: – EUR/USD. The main theme of last week was undoubtedly Brexit. The new Prime Minister, Boris Johnson managed to reach a compromise with Brussels on Thursday 17 October summit of the European Union approved an agreement on the terms of a British exit from the EU and its date – 01 Nov. This event, as well as reduce political and commercial risks in Europe, Asia and America, peppered with weak statistics from the US, bulls opened the way to the North. the Vast majority of experts (70%) as the main targets pointed to the 1.1160 mark, and that proved to be absolutely correct – in the evening on Friday, the pair managed to rise to this height, where he completed a week-long session;

The Founder of one of the largest hedge funds, Bridgewater Associates ray Dalio said in his speech at the annual meeting of the IMF and the world Bank in Washington that the global business cycle is in a stage of "Grand failure" and the current state of the global economy similar to the situation of the 1930-ies, namely the great depression. According to one of the greatest investors-billionaires, the worlds economy enter a phase of "natural decay", and no stimulus actions by Central banks will not be able to save the situation. Instead, you must follow the conflicts in four areas: trade, technology, currency, and geopolitics.

USD/RUB. 18.10. The ruble has consolidated under the level of 64.00 the Ruble began trading day with fresh strength to the level 63,60. The driver of growth was the jump in oil prices to around $60,20 per barrel. Quotations Brent grew up, even though the data on oil reserves in the United States (an increase of 9.3 million barrels in the week). in addition, the Russian currency is moving in line with all risk assets received support after reaching an agreement between the EU and the UK for Brexit. Saturday will be the vote in Parliament on the adoption of the document. during the day, the pair will move mostly within the range under the level of 64.00.

EUR/USD the European currency showed steady gains against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, updating local highs from August 26 to 1.1139. Support for the Euro has had a transaction between the EU and the UK for Brexit. Yesterday in the media, the head of the European Commission Jean-Claude Juncker announced that the parties managed to reach a compromise and form an agreement. Later this was announced by Prime Minister, Boris Johnson. At the same time, the text of the agreement was not published. Probably the final version will be released after signature by all participants of the EU summit, which ends today. The development of the uptrend and contributed to weak macroeconomic statistics from the USA on industrial production. Production volumes in September...

Oil Prices rose on Thursday amid weakening of the US dollar and also due to the new agreement the UK and EU Brexit. Information about what the EU and the UK reached a new agreement on Brexit, has led to a sharp rise in the pound and the Euro against the dollar, which helped support the rally of commodities. the Dollar also weakened after the release Thursday of weak data on industrial production. The last time the US does the disappointing macro data, indicating that the us economy is also suffering from the international trade conflicts, as the whole world economy. As reported last Thursday, the Board of governors of the Federal reserve, industrial production in the country in September fell by 0.4% (consensus: -0.1 percent) due to lower activity in...

With all the talk about abandoning the dollar Russia in August compared to July increased its investments in Treasury obligations of the U.S. Treasury at $826 million According to the Finance Ministry, at the end of August Russia belonged to US Treasuries for a total of $9,327 billion against $8,501 billion a month earlier. In July investments decreased by $2.35 billion Russian Investments in long-term securities in August fell by us $3,171 billion to $3,068 billion to $6,239 billion in short - term- increased by almost $4 billion to $6,259 billion from $2,262 billion. In April 2018, against the backdrop of sanctions, Russian investments in US Treasuries fell by almost 2 times - from $96,1 billion to $48.7 billion In may, the index has fallen more than in...

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According to the head of the European Commission Jean-Claude Juncker, the European Union and Britain finally agreed on the country's withdrawal from the Union before the summit of heads of EU member States. Juncker noted that the parties came to the conclusion a fair and balanced agreement, beneficial both for the EU and for the United Kingdom. Prime Minister Boris Johnson confirmed that British negotiators reached a new agreement with the EU Brexit, which provides Britain to control its internal and external policies. He also urged the Parliament to support the proposed document at the meeting on 19 October.

Brent. 17.10. Oil is growing, despite data on oil reserves in the United States Yesterday, under the pernicious influence of reports from API and the US Department of energy, Brent quotes again rushed below $59 per barrel. According to the data, crude oil inventories in the U.S. last week rose more than 10 million barrels, which was considerably above forecasts of analysts (+3 million). today, However, the price of "black gold" has returned to growth up to $59,40 per barrel. This contributed to the weakening of the US dollar across the entire spectrum of the market amid the release of weak data on retail sales in the country. end of the week the main risk to the asset remains with publishing data on growth of China's economy in the third quarter. If the...

Lately doesn't happen often – the demand for bonds of the Ministry of Finance of Russia almost in 2 times exceeded the proceeds of the offering. The auction took place on Wednesday, October 9. The Ministry of Finance has placed 2 issues of Federal loan bonds for a total amount 34,97 billion rubles. the demand of 66.06 billion. it is Noted that the demand for the 2nd offer was almost 4 times higher. First, investors were offered Federal loan bonds with fixed coupon yield (OFZ-PD) issue No. 26230RMFS with a maturity date of March 16, 2039 for 29,616 billion rubles, with demand in 46,025 billion cut-off Price reached 109,31% of face value, yield on cut-off price - of 6.94% per annum. The weighted average price made 109,31% of face value, weighted average...

Representatives of the Chinese payment system UnionPay, said that by the end of the year, the company will provide 100% acceptance of their cards throughout Russia. UnionPay International for quite some time actively cooperates with Russian companies. To date, the number of UnionPay cards issued is just over 2.5 million pieces, and by the end of the year this figure will exceed $ 3 million. Accepted Chinese cards will be throughout Russia. UnionPay payment system, established in 2002, the network of reception of payments covers 170 countries and regions. In Russia, the company came in 2006, started to cooperate with VTB.

Brent. 16.10. Oil traded below $59 per barrel Oil prices today do not show strong fluctuations, trading near the level of $58,70 per barrel. Asset is influenced by several countervailing factors: maintaining moderate appetite for risky assets on the background of good reporting of the largest American banks support Brent and the deterioration of the IMF forecast for global economic growth in 2019 and 2020, by contrast, pressured. Today, we should pay attention to the publication of data from the API and the Ministry of energy of the USA on stocks of crude oil in the country. Experts expect growth stocks by 2.7 million barrels. If the statistics confirm such expectations, the pressure on the oil contracts in the second half of the day is likely to intensify....

GBP/USD British pound once again showed strong growth against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday, updating the local high from may 21. The reason of positive sentiment was the publication in the media that the UK and the EU are close to an agreement, and the final text should be published already on October 16. However, this has not happened yet, and the leader of the Unionist party of Northern Ireland said that some differences still persist. Report on the UK labour market, published on Tuesday, was left without attention. Average wage and unemployment rate for 3 months is almost unchanged.

In October, the US received a number of disappointing macro data. So, published at the beginning of the month, the index of purchasing managers (PMI) for the manufacturing sector of the United States, calculated by the Institute for supply management (ISM), pointed to the slowing U.S. economy. In September the PMI declined to 47.8 vs 49.1 in August, hitting its lowest level since June 2009 (the forecast was of 50.0). the consumer price Index (CPI) in September remained unchanged (+0,0%) compared to the previous month, after rising 0.1% in August. The base consumer price index (Core CPI) that excludes food and energy prices, rose in September by 0.1% compared with the previous month, after rising 0.3% in August. Economists expected that in September the...

Mentioned this many times, and now repeated the accounts chamber of the Russian Federation – office Oreshkin, the Ministry of economic development should carefully consider the options for their macroeconomic forecasts, providing, in particular, the probability of external negative influences. Now, these projections do not fully reflect the scenario of development of events. the MAYOR is his opus 3 scenarios: baseline, target and conservative. The budget of the country lies the basic version. the chamber says: "Basic and conservative options have characteristics of the target scenario, which was abolished in accordance with the government resolution of 18 may 2019. The formation of the forecast, based on the demonstration of achievement of target indicators...