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Business / Finance

MQL5: Blogs Traders

Blogs traders and analyst of financial markets

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First a few words about the events of the past week: – EUR/USD. The Federal reserve left the interest rate unchanged, at 2.5% and more is not going to increase this year. The fed also lowered its forecasts for U.S. GDP and rates of inflation, and increased unemployment forecast to 2019 2021g.g. the following actions and statements by the American regulator confirm the beginning of a recession that should have a negative impact on American currency. As a result, on Thursday, 20 March the dollar fell to $1.1447 for 1 Euro. But then, instead continue to decline, it recovered against almost all major currencies, and primarily against the Euro. This happened due to the disappointing data from Germany – the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector...

Moscow exchange continues to record growth in the number of listed individual investment accounts (IMS) - on March 19, 2019 701 thousand of them already. At the same time, the share of the brokerage IMS - 89%, asset management - 11%. it is Noted that more than 70% - 509 thousand new accounts opened by private investors, who have never had brokerage accounts. Among the investment in securities through IIS the most popular stocks, their share in trading volume in 2019 is 85%, the share of bonds accounts for 13.8%, exchange-traded funds is 1.2%. the most open IMS clients of Sberbank of 281 thousand, BCS - 65, thousand and "Finam" - 57 thousand Only IMS open in 114 companies. the Leading regions by the number of open accounts are Moscow and Moscow region...

On Thursday held a regular meeting of the NB of Switzerland, where the Bank maintained its monetary policy unchanged. The Swiss national Bank left the Deposit rate at 0.75%, where it is from January 2015. He also left the three-month rate LIBOR in the range of -1,25% to -0.25%. In a statement, the Bank said that this decision and the reduction of economic projections "due mainly to the declining prospects for economic growth and inflation abroad, and the associated decline in expectations for interest rates the key economic regions." This statement is partly confirmed on Friday, when he came out weak, much worse than forecasts, macro data, testifying to the acceleration of the slowdown in the European economy.

EUR/USD Euro recovers after a sharp fall, reaching 1.1380. EUR/USD fell yesterday to a low of 1.1342. The pair retreated from its multi-week high reached yesterday at 1.1446 after the fed on Wednesday ended the tightening of monetary policy, abandoning the projections of any increase in interest rates this year amid signs of slowing economic growth and saying that it will stop the steady decline of its balance sheet in September. Lowering their forecasts for growth, unemployment and inflation in the United States, officials said that the basic interest rate, the fed is likely to remain at current levels, at least for this year, which is a complete change in their worldview.

On Wednesday, the German automobile concern BMW announced the reduction in forecast profit of rather more than 10% in 2019, and announced plans for large-scale spending cuts in the amount of 12 billion euros. Also the company plans to transition to a time-progressive labor in order to recoup their investment in technology courses and the volatility of exchange rates. last week, BMW announced the intention to reduce expenditures due to the expectation of a difficult year, after a report of declining operating profit in 2018 on 7.9 percent. BMW plans to expand the efforts of the entire group to improve efficiency and reduce costs. the Stock BMW (Bayerische Motoren Werke AG) fell by 0.36% on Wednesday. the focus of attention of financial market participants...

USD/RUB. 21.03. The dollar fell to the lows of August 2018 the Dollar weakened to lows August 2018 at around 64,45 RUB after the announcement of the outcome of the U.S. Federal reserve meeting. The U.S. regulator has again softened the tone of their rhetoric, cancelling the expected rate hike this year. In addition, the fed introduced a timetable for the completion of their operations to reduce the balance of the fed – according to the plan, it will cease by the end of September. Additional support for the ruble gets from high oil prices and approaching the peak of tax payments in Russia. Thus, the rouble continues to trade in the area of local highs. During the day the dollar tries to regain losses. EUR/USD. 21.03. The dollar fell after U.S. Federal...

USD/JPY Yesterday's fed inspired sellers grinbek for new achievements. From the American regulator nobody expected major changes in monetary policy. But what most officials do not consider it necessary to raise rates in 2019, was for market participants by surprise. Jerome Powell, speaking half an hour after the announcement, the fed noted employment growth and a strong labour market in a slowing of household spending and low inflation. Also the fed said that Brexit, trade wars and problems of the world economy are forced to take a break and wait with the increase in the base interest rate.

Against the background discussed new US sanctions against Russia, experts say – but in December, Russian investments in Treasury bonds U.S. Treasury only rose by $402 million. Yes, in January again reduced, but not by much – $36 million At the end of January Russia belonged to US Treasuries totaling $13,180 billion, compared to $13,216 billion in December. the Balance of urgency the following: investments in long-term securities in January rose by $1.22 bln to $6,322 billion, short - fell by $1.25 billion, to $6,858 billion In April, when it was announced tough new sanctions, Russian investments in US Treasuries fell by almost 2 times - from $96,1 billion to $48.7 billion In may, the index went down more than 3%, to $14.9 billion, and Russia was eliminated...

Good day! the Ruble still struck the 65-th figure and entrenched under it, after the slow punched and repeatedly tested the downtrend. Yet seen such a scenario – after "trampling" broken downtrend hike to the knocked level of 65.00 and only after that beautiful flight down, with a potential target of 63 rubles per dollar: EUR/USD continues its upward movement, rebounding from the weekly lines. On the daily chart the price broke the down channel local, so there is a potential pullback to the broken line, test it, and then the continuation of a beautiful flight to the North:

The Iranian Government plans to promote bitcoin to circumvent sanctions by the United States. Earlier, in April 2018, Iran introduced a total ban on the cryptocurrency. Currently, there are about 50 related bloccano enterprises, and licensed of crypto currency exchange. In late January, Iranian authorities allowed the creation of gold-backed cryptocurrency PayMon. To start the circulation of currency is planned before the end of this year. The government hopes that legalizing cryptocurrencies will avoid Iran's traditional monetary control, which affects sanctions on Iranian automotive sector and trade in gold and other key metals.

EUR/USD EUR/USD yesterday continued rising, reaching the highest level in the last two weeks on 1.13602. In Germany, data showed that the mood among German investors has improved in March, much more than expected, because of the potential delay of leaving Britain out of the European Union supported the mood. Research ZEW Institute showed that economic sentiment among investors increased to -3.6 with -13,4 in February. Economists had expected the increase to -11,0. Stronger-than-expected ZEW data has denied recent weak data on the German economy. This morning the Euro is trading in a narrow range around 1.1350, as market participants expect the publication of the announcement of the fed on monetary policy. On the highs of two days has formed a new ascending...

2 years as the Russian State Duma judges ryadit, but I can't make a law on cryptocurrencies. The head of the Committee on financial market Anatoly Aksakov are always excuses why everything is outrageously delayed. Here, it would seem, new reason to solve the problem – in Russia there has arrived delegation of the FATF (Group on development of financial measures for combating money laundering - Financial Action Task Force), which is required before year end to take after all the law. But Aksakov again "excuses" - at the Committee meeting, which discussed amendments to the 2nd reading of the law "On digital of financial assets", issues related to the regulation of cryptocurrencies, again not reflected, although these tools and are widely used for money...

The Council of the EU adopted a number of measures in case the EU and the UK will not be able to negotiate further trade agreements after the withdrawal of Britain from the EU. Brexit without a deal, or "hard" Brexit may lead to serious damage to the UK economy, therefore, the aim of the new instruments is minimizing adverse consequences in various sectors of the British and European economies. it is Noted that these temporary measures are limited in scope and will not be able to replace all benefits, which would have had Britain stayed in the European Union. In particular, the new measures relate to areas of social protection, military exports, fisheries, transport and educational programs.

USD/CAD the Publication of mixed macroeconomic statistics from the U.S. allowed the Euro, the yen and commodity currencies to go for a full correction. So, the dollar/loonie lost more than 150 PP and at the moment is preparing for the next test 1.3300. The Foundation of the ocean recently is not happy at the bulls grinbek. Thus, inflation in February was at the level of 1.5% against a forecast of 1.9%. Retail sales rose only 0.2%, while the number of new jobs was at 20K. Accelerate the bearish movement on grinbek also adds Donald trump. Let me remind you, the American President first vetoed the resolution of the US Congress about the lifting of the state of emergency on the border with Mexico. There is also an ongoing investigation about the involvement of...

The Ruble strengthened to a six-month high on Monday on the Moscow stock exchange the Euro at the moment cost less than 73 rubles, the dollar fell to the level of almost 64 RUB Russian currency more expensive from Friday, March 15. How long will this trend? The analyst of Raiffeisenbank Denis Poryvai says that the growth of the ruble caused, first of all, the coming tax period, and, hence, strengthening the national currency temporary: "this week paid the tax on extraction of mineral resources. In addition, there is a positive effect from the previous two months. Banks have enough reserves foreign currency liquidity, and so now there is a strengthening of the ruble".