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Business / Finance

MQL5: Blogs Traders

Blogs traders and analyst of financial markets

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The Penultimate summer week in the Forex market is quite calm. Currency pairs are moving in the previously set range, a sharp pulse of motion with false breakdowns and raznonapravlennymi studs yet. NZD/USD the Commodity currencies continue to slowly sliding into the abyss in search of bottom. "Ozzie" can not overcome the 68 the figure and begin at least a minimal pullback, the loonie is corrected, and most of all no luck kiwi. Nzd/usd has broken almost all the important support at higher time frames and moving steadily to a minimum in 2015 – 0.6070. Rebound and consolidation could be expected from 0.6340-0.6200, but this requires a positive fundamental background for "kiwi". Tomorrow in the morning waiting for the publication of data on the underlying index...

Today, August 21, the attention of investors is chained to the minutes of the last meeting the fed will publish at 21:00 GMT. At the meeting in July, the Federal reserve for the first time in the last ten years has lowered the interest rate by 25 basis points. Governor Jerome Powell presented this decision as a "correction in the middle of the cycle" than disappoint the President of the United States Donald trump, who hoped for a consistent monetary policy easing. the majority of market participants believe another interest rate cut at the meeting in September and expect to find the Protocol appropriate signals from officials of the U.S. Central Bank.

A report Released Janus Henderson Global, which implies that at the end of the 2nd quarter of 2019 the world's leading companies will be paid dividends totaling $513,8 billion compared to $508,1 billion for the 2nd quarter of 2018. the amount of the dividends by the record, but its growth has slowed significantly - to 1.1%. A year ago, the increase amounted to 14.1%. Such a slowdown experts attribute to the weakening of global currencies against the U.S. dollar. Taking into account exchange rate differences and other adjustments increase in dividends amounted to 4.6% (from 9.1% a year earlier), and that has coincided with expectations. In the 2nd quarter records for paid the dividends set Japanese, canadian, French and Indonesian companies. Japan has also...

Brent. 21.08. Oil rises after report from the API Oil continues to rise, following the dynamics of yesterday – quotes of Brent reached the level of $61 per barrel. Yesterday support was provided preliminary data on commercial oil reserves in the United States from the American petroleum Institute (API). According to these data, the stocks of raw materials in the United States last week fell by 3.5 million barrels. Today, we should pay attention to the release of similar data from the US Department of energy and the release of the minutes of U.S. Federal reserve meeting that could put pressure on all risky assets. EUR/USD. 21.08. Euro konsolidiruyutsya in the field are 1.1100

The international monetary Fund in July lowered its forecast for global economic growth in 2019, but raised the forecast of growth of the U.S. economy. Economists expect the us GDP growth this year will reach 2% which is still above trend. This contributes to a strong labour market, the improving situation in the manufacturing sector and rising costs of American consumers. Published last Thursday, the report showed that Americans continue to walk to the shops, encouraged by low unemployment and rising incomes. Consumer spending is the main engine of the American economy. They constitute over two-thirds of GDP. Another source of optimism for retailers appeared last week, when US President Donald trump has postponed plans to impose new duties on Chinese goods...

EUR/USD the Euro showed moderate growth up to 1.1106 on Tuesday, interrupted the development of the "bearish" trend, which was formed on August 13. The European currency growth was largely due to technical factors as the macroeconomic backdrop remained rather neutral and the focus of the markets remained the same drivers. Published on the eve of the German data on producer price index reflected a rise of 0.1% after Contracting by 0.4% last month. In annual terms, the manufacturing inflation slowed from 1.2% to 1.1%, which met market expectations. European data on volumes of production in the construction sector in June showed zero dynamics on a monthly basis, after declining by 0.46% in may. In terms of annual growth, the growth rate was 1%, slightly worse...

Xiaomi Corp Shares climbed 3.2% after the publication of the quarterly financial report. the revenue of the Corporation in the second quarter reached $of 7.36 billion, an increase of 15% compared to the same period last year, but was below the projected $7,58 bn Net profit Chinese electronics manufacturer was $278 million company Executives said that they failed to achieve the expected results due to the reduction in sales of smartphones in the domestic market, as well as pressure from the direct competitor Huawei.

EUR/JPY. 20.08. Consolidation at the level of 118.00 the pair Euro/Japanese yen following has formed on the daily chart a series of patterns "doji" building on the previously broken resistance level of 118.00. the Price of the trading instrument EUR/JPY konsolidiruyutsya in the area of the lows from April 2017. The third attempt of the bulls to return to the borders side of the corridor 119.30-118.00 failed, so with high probability we can expect a retaliatory move on the part of sellers. apparently, the pair is gaining strength to continue the downtrend. The immediate goal is to reduce on the level of 117.00, medium landmark in the district our 115.50-115.00. EUR/GBP. 20.08. The rebound from the level of 0.9100

A Number of positive macro data last week from the UK, contributed to some strengthening of the pound and the pair GBP/USD has reached the beginning of a new month, a more than 2-year lows near the 1.2020. In all, over the last three months the GBP/USD pair declined by 6.5%. As reported by the National Bureau of statistics the UK consumer prices in July rose 2.1% (yoy) after rising 2% in June. The forecast was +1.9 percent. The increase in basic prices was also above expectations at +1.9 percent. According to the National Bureau of statistics, output prices in July also increased (1.8% compared to the same period of the previous year), which is another sign of the rise of inflationary pressures in the economy as a whole. In the coming months we should...

USD/CAD the Situation on the currency market is changing instantly, we need only appear important to the Foundation, or rumors from reliable sources. So, a few days ago, the usd/cad pair was ready to break through 1.3200, and today managed to break above 1.3300. Strengthening grinbek primarily contributes to the positive macroeconomic statistics. Underlying the retail sales index in July increased significantly relative to the forecast: 1.0% vs. 0.4 percent. The situation has improved in the construction sector and the manufacturing index of Philadelphia was 16.8, versus expectations of 10.0. Add all this to decrease the degree of tension in the trade war and the uptrend in the dollar is almost guaranteed.

Japanese yen and Swiss franc fell, while the US dollar strengthened after reports of leading Central banks with the introduction of new incentive measures. the people's Bank of China late last week announced the reform of interest rates, which should reduce the cost of borrowing for private companies. in addition, a reputable German media wrote about possible additional fiscal stimulus in Germany, which will help to mitigate the effects of Brexit'and a trade conflict between the US and China. during today's trading the currency "quiet Harbor" came under pressure as the U.S. dollar gained support as investors hope for progress in negotiations between Washington and Beijing, associated with the concessions in relation to Chinese Huawei.

Brent. 19.08. The oil market is highly volatile under the $60 per barrel At the beginning of the week quotes of Brent began a steady growth to $59,60 per barrel, but later corrected to $58,80. Support comes from the positive news from the front trade war between the US and China. In addition, during the weekend I became aware of the drone attacks on some objects of the oil infrastructure in Saudi Arabia, which again led to a rise in geopolitical tensions in the middle East. this week we should pay attention to the news on U.S.-China trade negotiations and on the data on crude oil inventories in the United States. USD/RUB. 19.08. All the attention on the U.S. decision regarding Huawei the Russian currency continues to weaken amid continuing external risks...

EUR/USD the Euro ended the week strong decrease against the U.S. dollar, retreating to the new local lows at 1.1065. The pressure on the European currency remained on the background of published mixed macroeconomic statistics from the Eurozone. In addition, investors responded positively to the recent statements by Donald trump about that the trade confrontation between the US and China could end with the signing of the final agreement. Published August 16 macroeconomic statistics from the USA has been inconsistent. Investors with optimism have seen data on the dynamics of change in the number of building permits, which reflect the growth in July was 8.4% after falling 5.2% in the last month. However, the rate of change in the number of residential...

Brent. 16.08. Oil returned to above $59 a barrel Oil prices recovered after falling the day before to the $58,00. The current price of Brent crude – $per barrel of 59.30. All week the asset was under pressure due to deteriorating sentiment on global platforms and the flight of investors into defensive assets. Additional negativity brought reports from the API and energy, reflecting the growth of stocks of crude oil in the US 3.7 and 1.58 million barrels, respectively. Today, we should pay attention to the monthly OPEC report on the situation in the oil market. But it is unlikely that new data will have an impact on the dynamics of Brent, most likely the asset will continue to stay below $60 per barrel. USD/RUB. 16.08. The ruble strengthened on optimism...

One of the largest holdings of China's Alibaba Group had submitted on Thursday its quarterly report on income and profit, which exceeded the experts ' forecasts due to the business expansion of e-Commerce and cloud computing. the company's Shares on the stock exchange in the United States increased by 3% to 166,72 dollars per share. The main source of income online platform is providing advertising and advertising services on their websites Taobao and Tmall. the Above-mentioned e-Commerce sites Taobao and Tmall has developed rapidly along with the spread of Internet and mobile phone penetration in China. But nevertheless, like Alibaba and lower competitor JD.com striving to diversify its activity by a decline in revenues from e-Commerce in China, partly due...