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Business / Finance

ProFinance.Ru news and comments on the situation on the Forex market

Financial-analytical portal ProFinance.Ru

Found 57 items

Traders who expect more volatility in the yen next year will likely be disappointed. But bulls can take comfort in the appreciation of the currency against the backdrop of narrowing the interest rate differential between the US and Japan. This is the opinion of analysts from Tokyo, who expects the trade against the dollar would be limited to the range 10 yen in 2020, and the upper (for the yen), the border will be at the level of 101. the Pair was traded at 109.38 as of 8:37 a.m. in London on Friday. Since January, Ian ... read more...

A Team of Bank economists led by Jan Helucom issued a note detailing its predictions for the next year. They expect faster growth next year, as the heat of a trade war would be weakened and consumer spending will remain high, which compensates for slayerized-investment. They also predict that unemployment will fall to its lowest level since the Korean war. Experts estimate the risk of a recession as one to five. However, the markets will remain nervous in pred ... read more...

The Main factor determining the dynamics of the ruble in the short term, is the appetite of international investors for risk in foreign markets, Promsvyazbank analysts said in a report published on Monday, October 14, review. According to experts, the dynamics of the Russian currency in the coming days will have a significant impact on emerging markets. If so, then there is a risk of a significant depreciation of the ruble in the end of the current trading week, analysts say ProFinance.ru. ... read more...

These Are the results of the quarterly survey by Bloomberg, which was attended by 54 of investor, trader, strategist, responded to the questions about the prospects for assets in developing markets. Trade dispute between the US and China is still the key issue. A new round of negotiations will take place this week. However, experts surveyed by Bloomberg suggest that expansionary monetary policies followed by many Central banks is pushing investors to buy risky assets in the OS ... read more...

The Swiss national Bank (SNB), in fact, gave currency traders the green light to the further strengthening of the franc, as did not join other Central Banks committed to quantitative easing. The SNB predicts inflation slowdown and economic growth, but the Swiss regulator took the example of the US fed or the European Central Bank not to cut interest rates. In early September, the franc reached a 2-year high against the single currency on the background of ... read more...

Many experts speaking about the prospects of the ruble in the second quarter, noted the risks from seasonal deterioration in the current account balance. Seasonality has not been canceled, but this year the decline will occur from higher levels. The Bank of Russia reported that according to preliminary data, the current account surplus for the first four months of 2019, reaching $45.5 billion, which is 15.5% higher than in the same period last year. the Catalyst for the improvement was the increase in the surplus of trade Balan ... read more...

To date 2019 was very good for risk assets, from stocks to credit instruments, and assets emerging markets (EM) joined with the main wave, with the exception of the em currencies, which have recently declined. Among the comments made during the widening of the debate on this issue, some Fund managers have stressed their growing concern about the risk of a global slowdown. The fact that since the end of January courses em currencies began to decline, suggests that concerns remain ... read more...

Economists Institute of international Finance (IIF) that optimism about the success in trade negotiations the United States and China is premature. So currency traders too early laid on the signing of the agreement. Now between the two countries signed a truce until March 1. To this date, Washington and Beijing need to resolve their differences. So, on Thursday published on the CNBC article it was reported that before the spring personal meeting between the leaders of the United States and China malovanaya ... read more...

The Recent weakening of currencies of emerging economies offers investors the opportunity to invest in the assets of the Emerging Markets (EM), said Morgan Stanley strategist Andres Jaime, published in the Monday review. the Bank has its own model of an estimation of efficiency of investments in the segment EM. This model is now proposing to increase the portfolio share of bonds in emerging markets by 5-10%. Long position recommends the strengthening of the Russian ruble and Turkish Lira, Brazilian R ... read more...

Analysts at VTB Capital said Thursday that the exchange rate of the ruble against the dollar are close to fair values. In spite of their experts Promsvyazbank (PSB) believe that the Russian currency is undervalued by 5 or even 7%. They are predicting the ruble rise to 63 or 65 to the dollar in the 1st quarter of 2019, arguing their point of view because the surplus on the current account will have a Russian currency support. on Thursday 27 December, the ruble fell against the dollar by 1.4% to 69.67. This is the worst value since September 12. We will remind, 11 ... read more...

Federal reserve system of the United States in 2018 raised the rate on Federal funds 4 times. Its current range is 2.00 — 2.25% per annum. As widely expected by the market, in December the rate will be raised for the fifth time up to 2.25 — 2.50% per annum. Some Central banks of emerging economies strive to maintain in their favor, the gap in yields amid fed rate hike United States. The regulator of Indonesia has increased the REPO rate from 4.25% to 6.00%. The reserve Bank of South Africa 22 Nov decided of had increased when it came ... read more...

Dynamics of oil prices has long ceased to be the main driver of the Russian currency, the movement of which in recent months is determined solely by expectations of when and who will enter against Russia new sanctions. In early November, on the eve of intermediate Congressional elections, the ruble fell significantly, but then, when it became clear that the Americans are unlikely to have time to do something before the New year, regained the lost ground. This Monday, the Russian currency again came under pressure because of what happened Naka ... read more...

Promsvyazbank Analyst Michael Poddubsky believes that concluded between the US and China at least a framework agreement, involving the decline of tensions over trade relations, may provoke a surge of interest in risky assets. Accordingly, the failure of the talks will probably worsen the mood of investors across most asset classes due to negative growth forecasts for the world economy. Recall that last night Donald trump tweeted about the cancellation of the meeting with Vladimir Putin, ... read more...

Movement of the cable remains choppy, but the British currency successfully climbs — news about the progress in negotiations between the UK and the EU Bracito provided a palpable surge of optimism, and the rhetoric of the Bank of England was quite favorable. the Reason for joy gave the bulls an article in the Times, which reported that negotiators had reached a provisional agreement on all aspects of future partnership in the service sector, which would allow London to avoid serious turmoil in the banking sector ... read more...

Stocks are falling along with the US dollar has increased the degree of global tensions. Gold and bonds are rising in price. The S&P 500 index has strengthened its decline after the biggest weekly drop since March: President Donald trump on Sunday threatened to impose new duties on imports from China. Tech stocks lead the drop in the markets. European and Asian stocks fell after warnings at the weekend about global instability in the economy at the meeting of heads of financial departments under the auspices of the IMF. ... read more...