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Forex Club

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AUD/ USD fell 50 pips on Monday. But that doesn't mean anything. On Tuesday, everything can change. Here will be a meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia's monetary policy. it is Necessary to remember one thing – when lower interest rates, currency falls. And Vice versa. Now the Central Bank makes no sense to continue to ease monetary policy because he is afraid of the real estate market. There has long been predicting a bubble. in Addition, in the local labour market recovery is obvious. Business sentiment is growing. Isolation of Qatar creates additional favorable conditions for the growth of natural gas demand, which also trades in Australia. Copper is too expensive. and the General trend to a more aggressive attitude among the major Central banks will...

WHEAT (WHEAT) Strategy of the transaction Direction of transaction In the decrease Entrance (open price) on the market, but not below 547,00 Goal (closing price) 491,0 Stop Loss 575,0 Horizon 5 days (July 7, 2017)* fundamentals the Price of Wheat (WHEAT) for 4 weeks showed an increase of 25%, which is a significant movement. The increase was caused by weather conditions, and fears of a sharp reduction in harvest due to the drought. At the same time, in its monthly report WASDE the Ministry of agriculture on the wheat market expected a substantial surplus. In particular, the proposal of new wheat in the 2017/18 marketing year will be reduced by 2.8 million tons to 996mln.t by reducing consumption to 734,8 million tons as a result the forecast balance of...

Bitcoin for three weeks already trading near historical highs. While its volatility remains very high. Of 13.3% for the week 23-30 June. He attempted to decline, but still feels a strong support in the area of $ 2,300 per one bitcoin. Overcoming it can be a technical signal the beginning of a deeper correction. the News backdrop has become more mixed. the IMF urged banks to actively invest in bitcoin and accept it as a means of payment. This is stated in the report, published in June 2017. According to IMF staff, who wrote this note, including prominent economists such as Dong Khe, Ross Leckow and Vikram Haksar, "rapid advances in digital technologies transformerait landscape of financial services." Manufacturer of computer equipment the company Sapphire...

Dow Jones (YM) Strategy of the transaction Direction of transaction Buy Entrance (open price) 21075 Goal (closing price) 21355 Stop Loss 20890 Horizon* 19.00 GMT 07.07.2017 fundamentals U.S. stock indexes are falling as Central banks honking, accelerating the pace of growth in the global economy gives reason to start the tapering of monetary stimulus used in the last nine years. The Dow Jones dropped 1% week highs. However, in the period of monetary tightening the greatest risk of decline have stocks of rapidly growing companies. The components of the Dow Jones are mostly cyclical tools. They will feel more confident while macroeconomic statistics from the USA positive. We expect to have good data on indices PMI and labor market next week. Accordingly, the...

The Ruble closed on Thursday, weaker than Wednesday at 59,46. It's all in the completion of the tax period, a gradual decline in demand for the Russian currency as the investment currency, as well as the dynamics of oil. the Sharp selloff of the ruble, observed recently, even in moments of growth in oil prices, saying that the ruble is gradually losing its popularity among speculators trading in the framework of the strategy carry trade. in addition, the resistance until you can pass a strong resistance around USD 48.00./Barr. Oil on the fire poured the oil Minister of UAE, said that the additional decline in oil production is not planned in the near future the OPEC countries. On Friday all attention will be focused on data from Baker Hughes. If the...

To Ignore the GBP/USD is impossible. For the last three days the pair rose nearly 300 points. We have long warned. And this is not the limit. Now I tell you why. We have repeatedly voiced the main argument – the fall of the pound over the past year triggered a rise in inflation. While the Bank of England is forced to deal with it. And to fight the rate increase. And as soon as go hints, the pound will be invincible. And yesterday it started. Mark Carney during his speech said that soon the Central Bank will have to exit stimulus. This is just a hint without deadlines, but given the opposite comments the week before, the market interpreted the words with enthusiasm. Today, the theme was supported by another representative of the Bank of England's Andy...

The Ruble in the first half of the day feeling insecure. And this is understandable, given the wave of aggressive comments from representatives of several Central banks, starting with the ECB, and ending with the Bank of England and Bank of Canada. However, the closed trades in USD/RUB at around 59,23. And saved the ruble, as usually, oil. it Seems that global regulators are preparing to gradually exit stimulus. And it's not in the hands of the Russian currency, which has experienced increased demand speculators just on the topic of the difference of rates of the Central Bank and other Central banks. The domestic Central Bank is set to continue to decline, and the others are going to raise rates. It will provoke outflows speculators carry trade of the...

Yesterday We had underestimated the strength of EUR/ USD and overestimated the strength of the head of the U.S. Central Bank. In fact, in terms of pure market and the lack of economic data investors exaggerated reaction to the words of the ECB head Mario Draghi. But we need to know what to do next. first, Draghi really surprised. He actually ushered in a new era for the economy. And the reaction of investors is a signal that they believe in the current recovery. And this means that the Euro is a good growth potential. second, the head of the fed Janet Yellen said nothing new. Confirmed the thesis about the gradual increase in interest rates. But the market now knows. Even doubt about it. And it is a signal to sell the dollar. thirdly, the market for a long...

Please pay attention to the change of trading time on several instruments, which will occur on July 4 in celebration of independence Day in the United States. Tool Changes in trading schedule Brent Crude Oil WTI Crude Oil 04.07 - early closing at 17:30 GMT 05.07 - opening in normal mode at 00:05 GMT Russell 2000 03.07 - early closing at 17:15 GMT 04.07 - opening in normal mode at 00:00 GMT 04.07 - early closing at 17:00 GMT 05.07 - opening in normal mode at 00:00 GMT COFFEE, COCOA, SUGAR 04.07 - closed WHEAT, CORN, SOYBEAN 03.07 - early closing at 17:00 GMT 04.07 - closed 05.07 - opening 13:30 GMT Crude Oil Heating Oil Henry Hub Natural Gas Platinum Palladium Copper 04.07 - early closing at 17:00 GMT 04.07 - opening in normal mode at 22:05 GMT S&P 500...

Please pay attention to the change of trading time on several instruments, which will occur on July 4 in celebration of independence Day in the United States. Tool Changes in trading schedule BRN, WT 04.07 - early closing at 17:30 GMT 05.07 - opening in normal mode at 00:05 GMT TF 03.07 - early closing at 17:15 GMT 04.07 - opening in normal mode at 00:00 GMT 04.07 - early closing at 17:00 GMT 05.07 - opening in normal mode at 00:00 GMT COFFEE, COCOA, SUGAR 04.07 - closed WHEAT, CORN, SOYBEAN 03.07 - early closing at 17:00 GMT 04.07 - closed 05.07 - opening 13:30 GMT CL, NG, HO, PL, PA, HG 04.07 - early closing at 17:00 GMT 04.07 - opening in normal mode at 22:05 GMT ES NQ, YM, NKD 03.07 - early closing at 17:15 GMT 03.07 - opening in normal mode at 22:00...

The Ruble went to 58,60, however, to continue strengthening he has failed, despite the favorable dynamics of oil. Brent during the day have reached marks of $ 47,28./barrel. and can go further. most Likely, business was entered by several negative factors. First, it ended the tax period, which reduced demand for the ruble. Secondly, it is bad news from the corporate sector. Talking about the arrest of a 32% stake in one of the largest operators MTS and other assets belonging AFK "System" in the trial with "Rosneft", put pressure on the ruble. However, we believe that this story will soon leave the stage, and the market will focus on the dynamics of oil. Tonight and Wednesday all attention will be focused on data from the American petroleum Institute (API...

This summer will be boring. Too many surprises can prepare us market. And unpredictable. Which currency will be the weakest in the 3rd quarter? On which index to make a bet? What metals will rise in price? Should I buy aproactive? All of these questions you answer, the analysts of Forex Club in the next quarterly forecast. But this time things will be different: quarterly portfolio you will be able to build themselves based on their preferences. We, in turn, offer you all the ingredients ready. Build your portfolio and get some rest without losses! Presenters: the Department of Analytics GK FOREX CLUB the presentation of the forecast for 3rd quarter of 2017 will be held on Tuesday, July 4, at 12.00 and 19.00 GMT. At the specified time just start the stream...

EUR/ USD sharply pulled up by updating the 2-week record-level 1,1265. Supported the single currency, Mario Draghi . During his speech at an economic forum he stated that the Central Bank will soon exit stimulus. And the head of the European Central Bank confirmed that the recovery in the Eurozone is gaining momentum. The growth rate of the economy exceeds expectations, and there are signs accelerate this positive process. now, However, we have a pretty strong resistance for EUR/USD in the area of 1.1280. And in addition to the technical picture, don't forget about Janet Yellen. Tonight she might again take an aggressive positive stance as in the recent meeting of the U.S. Central Bank. And it will again return demand for the dollar. In the current...

Rouble opens the trading week with the noise – just 25 points below Friday's closing. Then during the day USD/ RUB reached the minimum 58,81. And again oil. Brent on Monday tried to break through the barrier to $ 46,40./Barr. the Oil is confused. On the one hand data on volumes of reserves indicate a reduction in the underground vaults of the United States. And it's good for energy prices. However, it is common for the summer period with peak activity drivers. on the other hand, the number of active rigs, according to data from Baker Hughes continues to grow and has already reached the highest level over the past three years. Last year shale projects the U.S. has increased production by 10%. And it does not allow Brent to grow. on Tuesday and on Wednesday...

Note on NZD/ USD . How many times did I mention the yearly range 0,6880-area of 0.7340. And from the middle of may we are almost constantly moving to the upper limit. And it almost came close to it. the Market is very positive and takes things in the new Zealand economy. However, there are some bells that can break the pair. First, published data on GDP for the 1st quarter was much weaker than the market expected. second, the dynamics of the prices for dairy products. Six weeks in a row we have seen a rise in GDT auction. However, last Tuesday everything changed – for the first time in 1.5 months prices fell by 0.8%. And if next Tuesday the situation persists, it may cause sales of the pair. the NZD/ USD can dramatically yank down with the nearest target at...