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Brent (BRN) Strategy of the transaction Direction of transaction to Buy the Entrance (open price) 47,55 Goal (closing price) 48,90 Stop Loss 46,55 Horizon 19: 00 GMT 19.06.2017 fundamentals Growth of stocks of gasoline in the United States totaling 5 million barrels for the last 2 weeks, which was recorded by the energy information Agency of the United States, does not fit in a forecast for record consumption of gasoline, which was expected this summer. Accordingly, the prices of the main reference varieties is reduced aggressively. However, it should also be noted that futures are now on the same price levels, which was before the decision by OPEC regarding production cuts. Since then, the cartel and allies were removed from the market, about 1.8 million...

The Ruble has touched mark 57,63 on a combination of factors. Here and the rise of the dollar after a rather aggressive attitude of the fed in respect of monetary policy. Here, the movement of Brent crude to around $ 46,70./Barr. Here, the U.S. decision to extend sanctions against Russian sectors. Here and funds rate expectations from the Bank of Russia. thus, it remains to understand which of the factors will continue to have influence until the end of the trading week. For example, the dollar retains its strong position as the still fresh memories from the positive statement of the head of the US Central Bank Janet Yellen. Simultaneously, the more alive will be the subject of sanctions, which are currently undergoing ratification in Congress. the Oil may...

EUR/ USD came under sales. Moreover, the role played by two factors: the strength of the dollar in the main pair and the strength of the pound in the cross EUR/ GBP. And the catalyst for all steel sasdania of the Central banks of USA and England. the Market yesterday did not expect such aggressive of Janet Yellen's testimony: after weak inflation and retail sales in the U.S., investors began to sell the dollar, believing that the fed will limit the current rate increase. However, the head of the Central Bank gave to understand that the labor market and the current state of inflation and the growth rate of the economy more than satisfied. And the exchange rate policy remains unchanged. This pushed EUR/USD at first. it was Then the Bank of England, which gave...

The Ruble is slowly but surely losing ground, even despite the large-scale sales of the dollar after weak statistics. The ball is ruled by two themes: geopolitics and the dynamics of oil. so, on Wednesday it became known that the volume of commercial oil reserves in underground storages of the USA have not declined as significantly as expected. And this is a clear indication that the demand for gasoline even in the peak "driving season", weaker than forecasts. According to the energy Ministry, during the week its reserves grew by 2,096 million barrels. And this sent Brent to a month-low 46,77 USD/Barr. in addition, continues to exaggerate the theme of a new wave of selective sanctions against Russian industries. For example, it became known that the Russian...

USD/ JPY had already lost more than 100 pips, but are willing to make more in anticipation of the fed meeting on rates. What was the catalyst? Bad data from USA. Directly before the meeting of the Central Bank, we got yet another confirmation that the us economy is not as strong. Consumers stopped spending money, retail sales in may fell 0.3%. In addition, inflation has started to slow down: CPI +1.9 percent, although in April were up 2.2%. And, then, why the Central Bank to raise rates further? And then there is no reason to buy the US dollar. We believe that the fed will raise rates this time. But this fact has long been priced in, and even if short-term, the dollar will go up, after only a few hours will resume sales. And the fall can be long-term. On...

USD/JPY Strategy the transaction Direction of transaction Selling Entrance (open price) 109,10 Goal (closing price) 108,10 Stop Loss 109,60 Horizon till 19.00 MSK 15.06.2017* fundamentals USD/JPY continues its decline. And a fairly high probability that the pair will go back to at least April 2017, after the publication of the decision of the U.S. Federal reserve. recently macroeconomic statistics from the USA did not Shine with optimism. Weak data on the labor market. The number of new jobs grew by only 135 thousand at the forecast of growth of 185 thousand Disappointment of steel and today's consumer price index (1.9% against 2.2% in April), and the report on retail sales, reflecting the decline in consumer activity (-0.3% vs. 0.4% in April). the string...

The Ruble could not find the reasons for a more or less sharp fluctuations. In fact, and positive and negative for the Russian currency were equal. For example, the oil can not grow. But the dollar remained under pressure. In the latest OPEC report on oil market says that in may, the production indicator rose to a record for the last 6 months pace to 31, 139 million barrels a day. However, there is good news: global demand grew by 0.13 million barrels. a day. In General, for Brent this data was not enough to get her to go up. The market still moves with an eye on the data on us oil reserves. If the rate of reserves from the American petroleum Institute (API) and the energy will reiterate the sharp rise, it could send Brent to the area of 47.00. do Not...

Oil Prices principal reference varieties are trying to rise from lowest levels for the month, which was once in the U.S. last week unexpectedly increased crude oil and gasoline. the energy Ministers of Russia and Saudi Arabia on Sunday at a meeting in Kazakhstan made a statement that world oil reserves are declining quite steadily, and that the decision of OPEC to slow down production works as expected. Alexander Novak confirmed the intention of Russia to exert maximum effort to stabilize the market. overall, Brent below $ 50 a barrel really looks cheap. Is the price levels at which the contracts were before the OPEC decision in November. They do not have a strong fundamental support. Only fears. Having tested support in the area of 47,50 us dollars per...

WHEAT (WHEAT) Strategy of the transaction Direction of transaction In the decrease Entrance (open price) 455,00 Goal (closing price) 463,0 Stop Loss 443,0 Horizon 3 day (14 June 2017)* fundamentals Wheat (WHEAT) showed considerable movement after the expiry of futures contracts, when switching from the July to the September contract. At the same time, the price movement did not reflect a negative balance of culture, presented in its monthly report WASDE the Ministry of agriculture of the United States. According to Friday's report on wheat increased the forecast of the total supply in the new 2017/18 marketing year from 2.8 million tons to 996mln.t while reducing the consumption forecast 0.1 million tons to 734,8 million tons as a result the forecast...

In support of cryptocurrencies will be performing several factors. the Australian stock exchange announced that bitcoin will be used in the purchase transaction of 40% of the shares of the company Digitalx company Blockchain Global Limited. In the strategic investments it is the first case. C1 July 2017 will stop the double taxation of bitcoin in Australia. Up to this point the tax was levied when buying bitcoins and paying them with goods and services subject to taxation. From 1 July the purchase of bitcoin to not be taxed. the Activity on the cryptocurrency exchanges in Asia continues to grow. In South Korea on the exchange of bitcoin is about $ 1000 more expensive than the States on the background of approval from the government. there is a Growing...

Walt Disney (DIS) Strategy of the transaction Direction of transaction to Buy the Entrance (open price) 103,95 Goal (closing price) 108,55 Stop Loss 100,80 Horizon 19: 00 GMT 15.06.2017 fundamentals Shares of Walt Disney company came under pressure after the publication of the last quarterly forecast. He was slightly worse than expected. Was beaten forecasts for earnings per share, but gross income was less. The decline in shares since 28 April was about 10% while the S&P 500 index during this period grew by 2%. However, the forecasts of revenue growth the Walt Disney company remain positive. So in 2018 they will account for about 16%. The ratio of price/earnings for stocks now DIS is 18.3 x, which is lower than 21.6 x for the stock of the S&P 500 index...

So today will be elections to the UK Parliament. The last time this theme was haunted GBP/USD, and limit the growth of the pair. The first results will be announced to night today. It's time to figure out what numbers can make pound sharp jerk upwards. Let's start with the fact that the gap is less than 45 seats between the conservatives and the labour party for the Prime Minister, may, and, hence, for GBP will be a blow below the belt. The pound would fall sharply, at least in the area of 1.28. But the chance is small. If the gap of the seats will be between 45 and 75 is satisfied with the community, will create conditions for a relatively soft out of the EU and allow the pound to grow by 20-30 points. The most likely scenario. If the advantage in the...

The Ruble began falling, and broke his patience the dynamics of Brent. Yesterday we warned that the data on commercial oil reserves from the US Department of energy can become a catalyst for a new wave of sales. And so it happened. Brent even made an attempt to break the mark of 48.00 USD./barrel. touching the mark 47,96 (minimum of 5 may). Provoked her to it news that the amount of reserves of energy in the American underground storage rose last week by 3.3 million barrels. instead of the expected considerable drop by 3.25 million barrels. besides, the growth was observed for gasoline and distillates for the products that are in high demand during the "driving season". And this is the basis for a further decline of oil. And hence sales of the ruble...

AUD/ USD is rising for 4 consecutive days. It is not a coincidence, despite the fact that the economic data paint a mixed picture. the Sharp rise in the Aussie, caused by two factors. First, it is the universal weakness of the dollar, and it is due to concerns about the precarious position of trump. Secondly, the decision of the Gulf countries to break diplomatic relations with Qatar. And this is the main driver of growth in the Aussie. Why? Because Qatar although not a major oil producer, it is a major supplier of natural gas. The risk of withdrawal from the market is an opportunity for Australia to become a major player in this market. This country will benefit more than others from scandal that may in the medium term already to bring positive results for...

USD/ JPY was able to break the mark of 110.00 and get to 109,28 low not seen since April of this year. And the downward movement may continue due to several factors. first, the tension in the market is increasing due to the isolation of Qatar in the middle East. There are some concerns that this is the beginning of a new escalation of the conflict. And in this case, the demand for the safe yen will increase. second, in the coming days we are 3 events with an unpredictable finale: parliamentary elections in the UK, the ECB meeting and the speech of James Comey (the man who trump with the scandal fired). A disturbance in the market = risk-free flight into the yen. thirdly, again on the scene came the scandal with the "Russian trace" in the election of the...