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Business / Finance

Banki.ru: monitoring of the banking press

Banking and financial news on the website Banki.ru

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The Number of unemployed will grow from 3.6 million in 2018 to 3.8 million people in 2019, according to the forecast of the Institute of economic forecasting (IEF) RAS. This is due to the economic slowdown and reduced staffing requirements. The likelihood of this trend on the labor market is high enough, agreed with the forecast interviewed by "Izvestia" analysts. In addition to lower GDP growth, this will contribute, in particular, automation of production and increasing the age of retirement. While in the expert community does not consider the increase in the unemployment rate to 5% critical. And in the Ministry "news" reported that ready for a possible increase in the number of officially registered unemployed: this year's subventions to the regions on...

The Russian currency may continue to strengthen, emerging on the Moscow stock exchange in the three trading sessions of the new year holidays, according to respondents, "the Russian newspaper" analysts. A key role for the ruble this week will play external factors - trade negotiations between the US and China, statements by the US Federal reserve and the dynamics of oil prices. the U.S. Dollar and the Euro during the first days of 2019 "relieved" about three rubles each. Steady strengthening of the ruble in the first trading session of January mainly due to a price rally in the oil market since the beginning of the year, a barrel of European Brent crude rose in value by about 9 percent, says financial analyst "BCS Premier" Sergei Dejneka. the Trend towards...

The founding Father of one of the largest Russian retailers — "salesman of the year" according to Forbes. 16 Feb 2018 at the main office of "Magnit" in Krasnodar played out a little drama as hundreds of employees of the company spontaneously poured into the streets to say goodbye to her father. A few hours before at the investment forum in Sochi Sergey Galitsky announced that it has sold almost its entire stake in Magnit VTB Bank. Standing in front of his, now former, co-workers, he tried to reassure them: "no One died. Life goes on. Just I'm a grown man — a psychological load to bear very hard, day to day, from day to day." Staff it is with regret and gratitude chanted "Spa-si-Bo! Spa-si-Bo!" Galitskiy, who opened the first store in 1998 in 2018 has...

The Ruble shows minor changes in the major cross rates on low activity auctions of Saturday, on the last trading day of the year, holding near the lowest levels in more than three months against the background of cheap oil. By 10.50 Moscow time quotations of the pair dollar/ruble calculations "tomorrow" was at the level of 69.44 and the ruble is gaining 0.11 percent. the Euro/ruble settlements "tomorrow" is now near the level 79,55, and the rouble rises in price on 0,16%. the price of Brent crude oil fell in December to its lowest level in more than a year because of concerns about the glut in the market, bringing the ruble fell to the lowest level since mid-September. the Activity of local market players, expected to remain low until January 9, when the...

On Saturday, December 29, the Bank of Russia will set rates on all new year holidays. Next time CB will review them only 9 January 2019. Although Moscow exchange will go "off" on all holidays, but only until January 3. But the results of the auction will not be reflected on the official rate of the Central Bank. As reported on the website of Mobilia, trading on Forex, precious metals, shares in the Deposit market, the forward market will be held on 29 December 2018, 3-4 and 8 Jan. These days they will be on all instruments, "with the exception of transactions with the date of performance of obligations on the day of conclusion of trades (deals with calculations TODAY) and swap transactions date of execution of obligations on the first part of which falls on...

New year's eve, RBC asked businessmen, top managers, government officials and visionaries what they expect in 2019. Stable oil prices, the joy of the soul, large-scale layoffs and other at RBC. Mikhail Gutseriev, co-owner and Chairman of the Board of Directors of "RussNeft" "Waiting all the best. Expect the price [of oil] will be stable, the country will develop, and we're all going to be [good] at heart". Vagit Alekperov, President and co-owner of LUKOIL "Waiting for the market stability and predictability. As for the current drop in oil prices below $50 per barrel [at the end of December 2018], but now in the closing of short trades, the end of the year is not an indicator. We therefore hope that the price stabiliziruemost in the first quarter of 2019 and...

In that wonderful moment, when the Russians under champagne and Olivier will listen to chimes, the country will officially increase the value-added tax from 18% to 20%. And someone will notice it immediately. One of the listeners Business FM sent a letter to the editor from a restaurant, where he will celebrate the New year. The Manager kindly informed that from 23:30 for one hour for new drink orders will not be accepted, so it's best to take care of them in advance. And from 00:00 the price will increase. The radio station phoned this restaurant, and it's all confirmed: "All is well, and the prices will change. Of course, they will not change critical way, but they will change after 00:00, literally around 2%. To be honest, laid in some places even a...

For capital markets this year has been difficult. The us stock market by the end of 2018 fell to 15-20% with the August and October highs. The ruble has weakened by 20% against the dollar and the price of Brent crude at the end of the year have fallen by 40%. In anticipation of the new year, Forbes magazine asked experts to give advice where to invest 1 million rubles in this difficult for investors. Alexander Losev, the General Director of "MC Sputnik — capital Management": the Following year will be difficult and perhaps crisis. So to investors the challenge now is rather to save than to earn, that is, the priority should be given to reliable assets with high credit ratings and low market risk. This, for example, short-term bonds/Eurobonds of the States...

The Russians are preparing for the worst and are waiting for higher prices next year. The Bank of Russia has noticed an increase in inflation expectations of Russians in December. Earlier, the Central Bank warned that by the end of next year prices could rise to 5-5. 5%. Meanwhile, experts believe that the Russians will feel inflation is at least two times stronger than the official figures. Before the increase in VAT from 18% to 20% from 1 January 2019 the Russians began to prepare for the worst. As notes the Central Bank, inflation expectations rose in December to 10.2% after a 9.8% a month earlier. This was reported in the regular reviews of the Bank of Russia "Inflation expectations and consumer sentiment". the Russians have pointed to as reasons for...

June 1, 2019, just in time for the holiday season in Russia is cancelled national roaming. Amendments to the Law "On communications" published today "the Russian newspaper". the Cellular companies already offer tariff plans that allow on the territory of Russia to make calls when at home. But if you have one of the "budget" tariff plans, every time when crossing the border of the region you receive a notification that you went beyond the "home network" and you need to activate the roaming option. From mid-2019 the following notice, says the head of the Agency "Telecom daily" Denis Kuskov. Payment in minutes and gigabytes over the limit of the tariff plan will always be paid at the same rate as in the home network. Calls abroad will be charged at the roaming...

The Bank of Russia approved the Raiffeisenbank use of own methodology for credit risk management implementation approach based on internal ratings (ISD), told RBC in the Raiffeisenbank. The ISD approach is considered "advanced" compared to the used by most of the banks "simplified and standardized" approach, it allows you to save capital and to increase lending. Now in Russia TACs are allowed to use only the Sberbank (November 2017). the Permission of the Bank would enter into force on 1 February 2019. The request for transition to the PVR-approach was submitted in October 2015, in January 2017 Raiffeisenbank began to pass the certification that took two years. what is the "advanced approach" or PVR the mechanism of the "advanced approach" (provided by the...

Punishment for the likes and reposts of "hot" materials are transferred to the Code of administrative offences. Users of social networks will no longer fall under the criminal code for reckless movement of the mouse. Today "RG" publishes two laws: amendments to the criminal code and the administrative code. The purpose of the new rules is to protect citizens from the risk of being recorded in the extremists for the indiscretion. As explained correspondent "RG" the Chairman of the Duma Committee on state construction and legislation Pavel Krasheninnikov, the precise anti-extremist legislation is directed and the proportionality of liability to the violation. Four years ago, lawmakers made a minor amendment to article 282 of the Criminal code providing...

The Outgoing year was very eventful in the economy. The most sensational, of course, be called the decision to raise value added tax to 20% and pension reform. However, in 2018, there were other no less significant events — from the usual closing of the banks to an unprecedented excess of revenues over expenditures. In the global economy 12 months ended "black eve": the Western stock exchanges have experienced the toughest December in recent years. The "news" analyzed in figures main events of 2018. 2.5 trillion rubles So can be the Federal budget surplus this year. If measured in percent of GDP, it is 2.5%. And that's pessimistic assessment. The figure is a record for the modern history of Russia. The last time the budget showed a plus in 2011. Then, the...

Average Weighted rate on mortgage housing loans in rubles granted to the customers of Russian banks in November 2018 climbed to 9.52%. This is evidenced by data of the Central Bank. The growth rate has occurred after in September and October this year, it remained at the historical low level of 9.41%. In November, the arrears of Russians on the mortgage for one month rose by 2.5 per cent to 6.32 trillion In September, the figure was 6.08 trillion rubles., in October and 6.1 trillion. in addition, the increased level of arrears of Russians on mortgage loans — customers need banks more of 60.9 billion rubles., in September and October, these figures were 60.2% and 61.1 billion RUB, respectively. According to the Central Bank, in November, banks issued...

Microfinance institutions (MFIs) will reduce the ceiling of the debt of borrowers and will limit daily interest rate. This act was signed by President Vladimir Putin, publishes today "the Russian newspaper". the Document contains three key changes initiated by the Bank of Russia (they affect all loans with a repayment period of up to a year). First, it is reducing the maximum amount of payments that the MFI can require the debtor. Now it is three times the size of the loan. According to the document, from 1 January 2020 it will become the maximum time and a half. the Second change is a limit on daily interest rates. Now it exceeds two percent per annum, but from 1 July 2019 will be limited to one percent. The third change is the creation of a financial...