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Business / Finance

Medium and short-term analysis of currency pairs on 24.04.2017

Portal Forex trader 24.04.2017 at 04:52

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Hello, fellow traders! The markets opened with a gap in the Euro, gold and related currencies amid the publication of the results of the first round of the French presidential elections.

economic Calendar

09:00 Germany. The IFO business climate index

18:30 the United States. The President of the Federal reserve Bank of Minneapolis the Kashkari

EUR/USD

After the first round of elections, it's time to pay attention to this pair.

the growth of the Euro in the long term is not in doubt, therefore the movement in the growth channel. Gap had not reached the upper limit, if trade against the trend — pending sell orders should be put in its level.

the Opening of North American stock exchanges can pick up this growing movement, though really rely on gap closure.

AUD/USD

Previously considered the option of buying in the fall, after the implementation of the Wolfe waves. Events, succeeding in commodity markets, which Ozzy correlated, can change the falling trend causing a rise in this pair. I wanted to draw attention to the area of the powerful annual resistance from which we can safely plan for sale.

One line will remind you of the pair GBP/USD – it is sold from the level of 1.2820, as promised earlier. The elections in France had no impact on prices.

Open orders big banks

Changes for 21.04.2017 Morgan Stanley "pulled" a stop on the order WIPO GBP/AUD in the market with 1,7645 to 1,7650. Bank Credit Suisse has opened a short on EUR/GBP with a strike price of warrants 0,8437 stop na0,8515 and take on 0,8168. Order Credit Suisse on USD/CHF for sale was closed with a profit of 99 points. More orders on that currency are not in any of the monitored banks. Societe Generale has closed its short EUR/USD with a profit of 10 PP. Fundamental analysis APR

EUR rose to five-month highs on Monday after the elected candidate market won in the first round of the French elections, weakening the prospects of skeptics and whet the appetites for risk on global markets.

E-mini futures on the S&P 500 rose 0.8% and the yield on 10-year us Treasury bonds rose nearly 8 basis points to 2.31%. Japan's Nikkei jumped 1.3% after JPY retreated, and the broad MSCI index in the region rose 0.2%. Shares in Shanghai fell by 1.5%.

USD rose 0.8 percent to 110.03 against the JPY, rising above 100 yen for the first time in the last two weeks. But the growth of the Euro undermined the U.S. dollar index, which weakened 0.8 percent to 99.179. Gold fell 0.7% to 1274,70 per ounce. Also, investors continue to monitor tensions on the Korean Peninsula. North Korea said Sunday that it was ready to sink US aircraft carrier to demonstrate its military power and determination.

Europe

In France, the centrist Emmanuel macron has taken a big step towards victory by winning the first round of voting, ahead of far-right candidate marine Le Pen. The results of the first round significantly weakened the risks of possible disagreements between France and the EU, why not avoid it if you win Le Pen or Mélenchon.

Recall also that in recent times the French blue chips closed below most major European indices, where the CAC 40 fell 0.4%, while the Stoxx added 0.1%. Last week, however, the two indices have remained below their highest level this year by about 2%.

EUR / USD 119.32 level against the JPY. Bank stocks that have benefited from the victory of the leading candidate of the French vote showed the biggest growth among the sectors of Europe at 0.7%, while underlying funds were closed in the flat. On the data front it is expected that corporate profits in the first quarter in the Euro area will grow by 7.2% compared to the first quarter of 2016. Excluding the energy sector are expected to increase 2.9 percent.