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Business / Finance

Forecast changes in exchange rates of major currency pairs in 27.04.17

Portal Forex trader 27.04.2017 at 04:58

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Hello, fellow traders! The day will be influenced by the rhetoric and actions of two Central Banks — Japan and the ECB. Below will be commenting on the price movements on 27.04.17.

economic Calendar

09:30 Japan. Press conference of the Central Bank after the meeting and decision on interest rate.

12:10 Australia. The speech of the head of the National Bank of Australia.

14:45 Eurozone. Publication of the interest rate decision the Euro zone.

15:30 US. Orders for durable goods.

15:30 Euro zone. The press conference of Mario Draghi.

17:30 US. The index of pending real estate


Yesterday's session brought hope in the form of the pin bar that appeared on top of the trend movement. A supports the fact that the price rebounded from the trend line — flatboy day area encountered a year ago.

the Growth rate versus the previously open short forces to agree to the closing of the transaction, the entry price of a few. That the price will go below in of profit can not be counted. The pin bar is confirmed, if you draw a negative candle with price closing below the tail of the previous bar.


In the pair there was a difficult situation from the point of view of shortest — quotes are in continuous growth. The best outcome of this transaction will be output without loss. This is possible by correcting the current movement at 1.3550. Is it worth it to wait?

the Growing movement, forming four or more positive candles in a row indicate an imminent correction or a reversal. Marker said a similar move in the near past. It is theoretically possible to try to "pull" on the chart pattern bearish Wolfe waves. Then the reversal will take place after the price crosses the line 1-3, with the aim of falling to 1-4.

One line – short is 4 in pairs: USD/JPY, USD/CAD, GBP/USD and EUR/USD.

Open orders big banks

Changes for 26.04.2017

Deutsche Bank:

Moved stop on long USD/CAD in a profitable area, with 1.3000 to 1.3400. I recall that entrance was made at the level of 1.33

Credit Suisse:

the Bank continued a series of negative trades, for the third consecutive session. At this time, carried by the stop pair NZD/USD Buy at 0.7005 was closed in minus 105 pips long AUD/USD open price 0.7518, closed to stop 0.7465, with negative results 53 pips placed an order on EUR/GBP — Buy Limit at 0.8414, with a stop in the area 0.8304 and take 0.8590 another attempt is set for USD/JPY, pending short at the level of 111.75 – stop 112.20, take 109.60 which is triggered during yesterday's session


Traders ANZ recorded a profit from the sale of AUD/CHF at the price of 0.7715, the deal made 270 pips

Morgan Stanley:

the Bank moved take profit of an open position GBP/AUD with 1.7290 on 1.8200 Fundamental analysis APR

Asian stocks fell from almost a two-year high on Thursday, as the long-awaited plan to reduce taxes in the US failed to inspire investors, although sentiment was supported and established prospects for global growth and weakened risk in Europe.

The broad index of the stock in the region, MSCI, has not changed. On Wednesday, the index reached its highest level since June 2015. Japan's Nikkei eased 0.1%. The President of the United States trump has proposed to cut tax rates for businesses up to 15 from the current 35% to 39.6 large and for small enterprises, and taxes on corporate profits abroad returned to the country. On wall street the S&P 500 index fell 0.05%.

USD fell to 111.23 against the JPY from a near one-month high of 111.78 made earlier on Wednesday. JPY showed no reaction to the fact that the Bank of Japan left rates unchanged — in line with market expectations. CAD has slightly recovered from early losses after trump said that he agrees not to terminate the North American free trade agreement (NAFTA). The loonie gained 0.5% to 1.3555 against the USD, after it reached a 14-month low of 1.3648 yesterday.


French blue chips hit a new 9-year high on Wednesday, helped by a surge of demand for shares in luxury group Kering after the publication of strong sales report, while European regional indices were trading near 20-month highs.

the pan-European Stoxx 600 ended the session with gains of 0.5% as the stock and the financial performance of the luxury class grew due to strong results in corporate profits. The French CAC 40 rose 0.2%, based on the success achieved earlier this week amid the victory of the centrist Makron in the first round. Similarly, a 2.3% increase in shares of Deutsche Bank sent Germany's DAX to a record closing levels. Today, the German lender will report the results for the first quarter.

EUR was trading at the level of 1.0903 against the greenback, recovering from lows 1.0856 environment, and holds near 4-1/2-month high of 1.0951. Today, the ECB plans to hold a meeting on policy issues with a focus on the potential for easing of monetary stimulus in the coming months.