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5 Dec hosted the XVII annual conference "Leasing in Russia", organized by the rating Agency RAEX ("RAEKS-Analytics"), together with United leasing Association. The main topics for discussion were strategies of companies in conditions of market uncertainty and the impact of the planned amendments to the civil code for the leasing industry.
"For the first nine months of 2018, the business volume of the 100 largest leasing companies grew, on comparable data, 44.6%, to 969,6 billion roubles, — has shared the results of studies of the General Director of rating Agency RAEX ("RAEKS-Analysis") Dmitry Grishankov. Thus, the leasing market for the second year in a row puts historical records. Growth of new business showed two-thirds of the companies participating in the rating (they account for 88% of the business). The consensus forecast for long-term development of the leasing market until 2024 in the baseline scenario envisages reaching a peak growth of new business in 2021-2022 and following their entry into the level 15-25% a year."
the participants of the discussion has not bypassed a theme of influence of the mechanism of state guarantee support to the leasing market. This was told by Executive Director of the Moscow guarantee Fund Anton Kuprinov. "We see that the surety on lease help to close the transaction risk with illiquid equipment. The sponsorship has allowed our customers to purchase, such as equipment for development in Baumanskom University and a special printing machine for printing", — he said.
Further, experts have begun to discuss specific segments of the leasing market and evaluation of its short-term and long-term prospects. "Prospects for railway leasing in 2019 can be assessed as optimistic, — said Deputy General Director of OJSC "gtlk" to work with clients Vladimir Dobrovolsky. The market will be fairly stable, and some increase towards the level of the current year will be. In 2018, the market globally has increased due to low base effect, and next year the market will start already from the other levels. But an incredibly large increase (jump) will be gone. This is due to the fact that production volumes will rise slightly, accordingly, the transactions under the new cars will be on the same level. It is also possible deals to consolidate the old parks, which will be held in the current regime."
"we pay Special attention to the lease, in turn, added the General Director of the company "Region Leasing" Rustam Mukhamedov. — Most likely, it will be market driver for several years. In our product line. of course, there is today, but significant potential of this segment motivates already allocated as a priority direction of development. At the moment, we have a specialized IT platform and do not exclude the possibility of separation from the main car leasing businesses is a separate team for its development".
"assessment of the prospects and determination of the drivers of the market is not possible without determining the degree of influence of external risks — "market shocks", — said the President of the United leasing Association Cyril Tsarev. But shocks in different segments are different, i.e. for leasing of rail transport, for example, important coal prices, and for vehicle lease is important to the state of the market of car sharing and taxi."
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